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Thursday, 12 March 15
CAPESIZE : ACTIVITY IS LOW; PANAMAX: BIT MORE ACTIVITY; HANDY: A FIRMING WEEK

FearnleysHandy
It has been a firming week in both hemispheres this week and especially in the Pacific, says Fearnleys AS in its week's week report.

The latter is seen late March stems entering the market, including finished steel products from China. Nickel ore rounds are being fixed in region low/mid US$ 6k and the coal runs to India are up about US$ 1,000 since last week and now fixing 7-8k depending on delivery. Fearnleys AS  further noted that, in the Atlantic we also see the rates coming up, but not to the same extent. The oversupply of tonnage is still affecting the rates, but TA´s are now being fixed in region of US$ 6,800. The period market is quite active on the shorter periods and good eco Smaxes are being fixed around the 9k level bss delivery Feast.

Panamax
The Panamax market had a bit more activity this week with touch firmer rates out of ECSA and in the Pacific. In the Atlantic in general, we still see a very soft market, Fearnleys commented on this week's Panamax trend. Major charterers see this as good timing for securing their forward programme and are now entering the market with COA´s for 2016 onwards. TA´s are now being fixed in region of US$ 4-5k while shorter delaying rounds have even been concluded as low as US$ 3k. The ECSA grain stems are now shortly touching levels around US$ 12k + US$ 200k GBB. In the Pacific we can see owners fixing between US$ 6- 7k for NoPac rounds and the shorter Indo/China trade is being fixed at US$ 5k. According to Fearnleys AS, the period market is very quiet but shorter periods are being concluded at levels around US$ 6,5-7k depending on the delivery and vessel specs.

Capesize
Commenting on Cape, Fearnleys, the broker said that, similar to watching the grass grow - only without all the excitement. Activity is low, and consequently daily average spot earnings for 180000- toners continue falling another 12% w-o-w to come in at a very uninspiring US$ 4350. Despite increased scrapping, this segment stays over tonnaged in all geographical areas as there is simply a limit to how much iron ore and coal the world´s base industries need transported by sea. As physichal realities have sunk in over some time, players gradually lose faith in forward market, with FFA levels for 2016 now dipping below US$ 11k. Next to nothing is being concluded for a period, and going levels for good 180000- tonners are expected to fall below US$ 10k basis 12 months, for short periods below US$ 7k.



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