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Wednesday, 11 March 15
DRY BULK MARKET: ALL IS NOT LOST FOR A RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
 The low cost of commodities across the board could trigger an increase of trade among many countries, which in turn could lead to a recovery of the dry bulk market soon. In its latest report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking noted that “with commodity prices still under pressure and possibly slipping further as the U.S. dollar gains ground, there could be room for some extra demand to surface down the line. For one, activity in terms of Chinese imports of iron ore have already been on the rise since late February and although this has yet to translate into higher earnings for Capes, the possible competitive edge for Brazilian iron ore, due to the sliding value of Brazil’s real, could lead to a sharp increase in demand for those longer haul routes. This would likely be pushing out some of the locally sourced supply in China, rather than those sourced from Australia, leaving a positive after taste for seaborne trade. This is supported further by the fact that the new price reality of iron ore at bellow US$ 60 per tonne on the spot market, looks more like a level that could be sustained by the more competitive miners of Australia and S. America rather than the local Chinese miners”, said Allied in its report.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, “inventories have been on the rise once more, despite the rumours of slowing down steel production in China, giving a sense that this might be a temporary restocking rather than a full blown recovery trajectory many would have hoped for. The Chinese steel sector is still struggling with the slower growth reality, leaving the industry with heavy overcapacity issues and increasing costs due to new environmental laws. With the possibility of part of its excess of 1.1billion tonne annual capacity facing closure, China’s steel production is unlikely to drive the same demand growth of past which is much needed for some of the major dry bulk commodities, namely that of Iron ore and coal. With both of these commodities taken up in their majority by the capsize market and China having accounted for the lion’s share in their seaborne trade, it will likely be these larger dry bulkers which will find themselves facing the most difficult conditions. It has been no surprise therefore that during the past weeks were all other size segments have shown an improvement from their previous lows in the freight market, Capes are still under considerable pressure and have even managed to slide below an average rate of US$ 5,000 per day in the spot market. Any strong improvement as that proposed above, is looking likely to only be a temporary one as things stand now”, Lazaridis noted.
He added that ‘yet it’s not all bad news as it seems for the dry bulk market. Much of this recent improvement in the smaller size segments is likely to intensify further over the coming months, as the strong performance of the Atlantic basin is slowly getting primed to be hit by the influx of ECSA’s grains. What’s more is that although the grain production is estimated to only be moderately higher than that of last year (while Argentina has already announced that it may lower its previous estimates for the 2014/15 season due to the heavy rains faced recently), the much lower prices could create interesting arbitrage amongst markets, leading to higher trade volumes and possibly an even higher increase in tonne-mile demand. The question is that this is only seasonal and once these grain stems are gone what’s left to drive the market forward over the seasonally softer summer months?”, Lazaridis wondered.
He concluded his analysis by mentioning that “overall it looks like 2015 is turning out to be exactly what most feared it would, though it won’t all be like the “blood bath” that we have witnessed during the first months of the year. The truth of the matter is that the commodity boom of the past seems long gone now and we need to be more moderate moving forward in order to better accommodate the new “Status quo”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 02 April 15
NEWBUILDING ORDERS FOR DRY BULK CARRIERS "DRY" UP
Newbuilding ordering activity remained subdued over the course of the past week, as ship owners are wary of adding further tonnage to an already pr ...
Wednesday, 01 April 15
SUPRAMAX & HANDY: RATES HELD STEADY TOWARDS THE WEEKEND
“Despite the fact that the Dry Bulk market closed off on the green last week, sentiment didn't improve by any means, not only because of ...
Wednesday, 01 April 15
WEEKLY SHIPPING MARKET UPDATE - INTERMODAL
There is no doubt that we are still witnessing a very challenging and at the same time very uncertain market, both with respect to dry chartering a ...
Wednesday, 01 April 15
Q4' 15 INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $45.15 W/E 27 MARCH 2015
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 drops month on month and week over week.
The Q2 swap declined US$ 1.54 (3.24%) mo ...
Tuesday, 31 March 15
RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS GAIN WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 declined month over month but increased week on week.
The Q2 swap has ...
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
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- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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