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Tuesday, 03 March 15
INDIAN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS: STEAMING FORWARD - CLARKSONS
Coal-fired power stations comprise around 60% of India’s power output, and with domestic supply issues and favourable international coal prices, the country looks set to continue to rely on imports. In 2014, India’s thermal coal imports increased 15% to an estimated 162mt. Given that Chinese imports are likely to fall in the coming years, India could emerge as the largest seaborne importer of steam coal.
Tumbling Coal Prices
Indian thermal coal imports rose considerably in 2014, partly benefiting from the lowest coal prices in four years. Prices of Indonesian and South African coal, which accounted for 95% of Indian steam coal imports in 2014, fell 19% and 26% y-o-y respectively. Furthermore, the stabilisation of the Rupee in 2014 meant that Indian buyers were in a stronger position to exploit falling international coal prices. As such, in January-October 2014, imports from Indonesia rose 13% y-o-y, while shipments from South Africa rose 48% y-o-y.
A Strain On Supply
The increase in Indian steam coal imports was also supported by sluggish growth in domestic coal production in 2014. Output rose by around 5% y-o-y in 2014, far below growth targets and even further below the country’s overall electricity generation growth, which reached 9% in 2014. Legal and bureaucratic constraints and logistical bottlenecks limited domestic steam coal production growth, putting further downward pressure on the domestic coal supply. The Supreme Court’s cancellation of 200 mining licences in September 2014, amidst an ongoing license allocation corruption scandal, as well as the government’s inability to pass the Coal Mines Bill, also restricted coal production growth. As a result, import demand increased in order to help to meet energy needs. Coal India’s announcements that the country will completely cut thermal coal imports over the next 2-3 years contrast with the domestic supply situation and growing levels of consumption.
Low Stockpiles To Top It Off
Furthermore, dry weather conditions during the Indian monsoon season meant that the country’s hydro-electric power generation was hampered in 2014, leading to greater reliance on existing coal stocks. As such, stocks of thermal coal dropped to 7.8mt in October, the lowest level since November 2012, while the average number of power plants at ‘super critical’ stock levels (less than four days of use) rose 81% y-o-y, peaking at 38 stations. In order to replenish stocks during the monsoon season and meet domestic power demand, Indian coal-fired power stations ramped up imports during the months when they traditionally decline, between July and September.
So, critically low inventory levels, coupled with insufficient domestic production are likely to continue to push power station operators to turn to currently cheaply imported coal to fulfil their supply requirements. Indian thermal coal imports are thus projected to grow by a further 8% y-o-y to total 174mt in 2015, partly supported by an $8bn investment in existing port infrastructure. Given that Chinese imports are expected to decline in 2015, the global picture may be shifting towards India as the world leader in seaborne steam coal imports for the first time.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 04 February 15
MARKET INSIGHT - LINOS KOGEVINAS
It has been just about over 2 months since, in a move that surprised many and caused widespread apprehension, OPEC decided to maintain its producti ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 3.29 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q4'15 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q1 swap up US$ 0.68 (+1.41%) month o ...
Tuesday, 03 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q4 DELIVERY CLOSED 5.86% LOWER THAN Q1 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.26 per MT (+0.51%) week over week and declined US$ 0.02 (-0.04%) ...
Monday, 02 February 15
API 4 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP ROSE WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has decli ...
Monday, 02 February 15
INDONESIA'S ADARO ENERGY PRODUCED 56.21 MILLION TONNES OF COAL IN 2014; UP 8% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com: PT. Adaro Energy, Indonesia’s largest coal producer, has increased coal production by 8% to 56.21 million tonnes (Mt) from both ...
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
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