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Tuesday, 03 March 15
INDIAN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS: STEAMING FORWARD - CLARKSONS
Coal-fired power stations comprise around 60% of India’s power output, and with domestic supply issues and favourable international coal prices, the country looks set to continue to rely on imports. In 2014, India’s thermal coal imports increased 15% to an estimated 162mt. Given that Chinese imports are likely to fall in the coming years, India could emerge as the largest seaborne importer of steam coal.
Tumbling Coal Prices
Indian thermal coal imports rose considerably in 2014, partly benefiting from the lowest coal prices in four years. Prices of Indonesian and South African coal, which accounted for 95% of Indian steam coal imports in 2014, fell 19% and 26% y-o-y respectively. Furthermore, the stabilisation of the Rupee in 2014 meant that Indian buyers were in a stronger position to exploit falling international coal prices. As such, in January-October 2014, imports from Indonesia rose 13% y-o-y, while shipments from South Africa rose 48% y-o-y.
A Strain On Supply
The increase in Indian steam coal imports was also supported by sluggish growth in domestic coal production in 2014. Output rose by around 5% y-o-y in 2014, far below growth targets and even further below the country’s overall electricity generation growth, which reached 9% in 2014. Legal and bureaucratic constraints and logistical bottlenecks limited domestic steam coal production growth, putting further downward pressure on the domestic coal supply. The Supreme Court’s cancellation of 200 mining licences in September 2014, amidst an ongoing license allocation corruption scandal, as well as the government’s inability to pass the Coal Mines Bill, also restricted coal production growth. As a result, import demand increased in order to help to meet energy needs. Coal India’s announcements that the country will completely cut thermal coal imports over the next 2-3 years contrast with the domestic supply situation and growing levels of consumption.
Low Stockpiles To Top It Off
Furthermore, dry weather conditions during the Indian monsoon season meant that the country’s hydro-electric power generation was hampered in 2014, leading to greater reliance on existing coal stocks. As such, stocks of thermal coal dropped to 7.8mt in October, the lowest level since November 2012, while the average number of power plants at ‘super critical’ stock levels (less than four days of use) rose 81% y-o-y, peaking at 38 stations. In order to replenish stocks during the monsoon season and meet domestic power demand, Indian coal-fired power stations ramped up imports during the months when they traditionally decline, between July and September.
So, critically low inventory levels, coupled with insufficient domestic production are likely to continue to push power station operators to turn to currently cheaply imported coal to fulfil their supply requirements. Indian thermal coal imports are thus projected to grow by a further 8% y-o-y to total 174mt in 2015, partly supported by an $8bn investment in existing port infrastructure. Given that Chinese imports are expected to decline in 2015, the global picture may be shifting towards India as the world leader in seaborne steam coal imports for the first time.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 16 March 15
MAKING THE WORLD GO ROUND - SEABORNE TRADE! - CLARKSONS
Money, or even love if you prefer, are claimed to make the world go round. For the shipping world, however, it’s trade that sets things spinn ...
Monday, 16 March 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS: DECLINED
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 2.48 per MT (-4.77%) month over month and US$ 0.93 (-1.84%) we ...
Monday, 16 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA THERMAL COAL SWAP DECLINED 3.74% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 2.17 (-3.74%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.67 (-1 ...
Sunday, 15 March 15
BDI DECLINED LESSER THAN 1% WEEK OVER WEEK; INDO-INDIA FIRM
COALspot.com: The most of indices, including bulk dry index were falling this week. The BDI has been down by just 0.53 points and closing at 562 po ...
Saturday, 14 March 15
CAPESIZE DRY BULKERS TO AVERAGE BETWEEN $3,000 AND $9,000/DAY IN THE COMING WEEKS SAYS BIMCO
BIMCO issued its latest short-term estimates for the dry bulk market. For March/May: BIMCO assesses that the Capesize time charter (T/C) average ra ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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