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Wednesday, 05 August 09
SMALLER DRY BULK CARRIERS TO FARE BETTER UNTIL THE END OF 2009 - SHIPPING


Marcor Shipping reported that, Smaller ship types are expected to outtake larger ones in dry bulk trade for the period until the end of the year. That’s what the latest Hellenic Shipping News Poll indicates, since according to 186 of the 509 of the readers who voted, said that the most popular ship types will prove to be those in the range of between 35,000 and 60,000 tons dwt.

This represents the 36.5% of the votes. Similarly, the second most wanted ship types will be those in the range of 15,000 – 35,000 tons dwt. They were voted by 99 readers or 19.4% of the total votes. As a results ships with a carrying capacity from 15,000 dwt and up to 60,000 dwt were the preferred ones for almost 56% of all those who took part in the poll.

On the contrary, the capesize type, regarded as a reference point for the dry bulk industry didn’t fare that well, with only 15.1% share of votes, or 77 out of 509. Also, panamaxes took 19.3% of the votes or 98 in total. It seems that the market’s future in 2009, one of the most challenging years ever for the industry, is expected to lie within the handysize/handymax, as well as the supramax segments. During June, a similar poll, organized by Hellenic Shipping News, had raised the question of which cargo trading route would prove to be the most profitable in the coming months.

The results were overwhelming towards the Far East trades, which were voted by an impressive 57.7% of readers, or 305 out of the 529 who took part in the poll in total. In second place came the route of East Coast South America (ECSA). But the difference was more than vast, since this particular dry cargo route attracted 9.1% of votes or 48 in total. Third place was occupied by United States Gulf (USGF), with 41 votes or 7.8 percent of the whole. East Med (EMED) and American Pacific (AMAG) followed with only a vote between them, while Red Sea-Persian Gulf was next with 4%. It tied with the West Africa (WAFR) route which also attracted 4% of votes. As for this month’s (August) poll, which you are all welcome to join, it poses another interesting question: What percentage of the current dry bulk fleet still needs to be scrapped in order for the freight market to recover to higher levels, taking into account the global orderbook? As usual, we have provided you with a range of choices.

The issue of phasing out older tonnage is more than important in today’s market conditions and with the expected pick up in new building deliveries during the second half of the year. This could bring the Baltic Dry Index to lower levels and hinder the industry’s recovery. Every vote is enough to make a difference with the results being announced in early September.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide, Macor Shipping



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