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Wednesday, 28 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
With most traders having returned to action from year end festivities, we have already seen signs of activity in the specialized product markets. Long-haul trades, - namely vegetable oil shipments from South America and the deep-sea MR market from Southeast Asia to Med/Continent - are increasingly active. On the other hand, the demand across the inter-regional palm oil trade lanes has weakened.
The slow pace of enquiry to India and China for palm oils during the year end, has remained evident in the first days of 2015. A small number of car-goes in January and sporadic cargo enquiries already quoted for February, have resulted in increased availability of prompt tonnage and lower freight rates. The rates for Straits/WCI bss 10-12k shipments are between 29-31 US$/pmt and 27-29 US$/pmt bss 10-12k shipments to ECI.
Analysts say that recent major floods in high-producing palm oil areas of Malaysia, the world’s second-largest grower, will take a toll on the country’s outputs and they are likely to fall further. As such, and in view of increased exports due to the upcoming Chinese New Year festivities, we expect the market to experience some activity with a positive effect on freight rates.
While many traders expected hire-rates for long-haul MR trips to fall at the start of the year, the market has proved them wrong. The continuous delays in both new-building scheduled deliveries and ships discharging soft oils in India are the main factors that keep hire rate levels around 20,000-22,000 pd; with the higher rates being attributed to the ‘’ECO-MRs’’.
It is true however, that with a 40-50% drop on bunker prices over the last months, the operational cost advantage is not so evident for the latter, as charterers might end-up with a cheaper solution when taking a ‘’normal MR’’ at a lower hire rate. Finally 33-40,000 shipments to Continent are still earning around low 60 US$/pmt and 55 US$/pmt on voyage bss.
Overall, there has been a fair amount of activity out of South America for soya been oil exports during the start of the year. The driving forces behind this demand have been India and Europe while China has been almost obsolete. While the Atlantic CPP market is slightly cooling off, but still at healthy rates, there might be other ships apart from the non-CPP players and the older candidates, that would look at veg oil out of South America. As such, this might give charterers, the opportunity to push rates back.
The situation ex - Black Sea is similar. While the cross-Med CPP market has slightly softened, it is still far from poor and leaves owners with better earnings than a veg oil voyage. Despite increased activity towards all destinations, Westbound cargoes are preferable especially to ice-class candidates, as the ice-season has arrived; unless you are an Owner with older tonnage or have contractual commitments in the East. In any case, it seems that charterers will not get a very competitive rate, for either taking a higher-spec vessel West or taking a dedicated CPP trader East.
On a last note, it is certain that the continuous drop of bunker and crude oil prices will have a great impact on the shipping markets during 2015 as well. But to what extend this trend will continue translating into higher freight rates, is probably the right question to ask.
By: Stelios Kollintzas
Specialized Products Desk
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 26 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - EVA TZIMA
The tanker market has been enjoying some good returns lately. Ok, that may be a big understatement, but with all the ups and downs of the past year ...
Tuesday, 25 November 14
FISCAL BREAKEVEN OIL PRICES SHOW SOVEREIGN VULNERABILITY - FITCH
COALspot.com: The vulnerability of the sovereign credit profiles of net oil exporters, as shown by their fiscal breakeven oil prices, suggests that ...
Tuesday, 25 November 14
UK: TRIBUNAL RULES ON SPEED AND PERFORMANCE CLAIMS UNDER TWO CONSECUTIVE TIME CHARTERPARTIES - REED SMITH
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
“Owners not to be responsible if the vessel under the currency of this charter party stays at port or anchorage or ...
Tuesday, 25 November 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q4' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 68.20
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 gained month on month, week on week and day over day.
The Q1 swap has gain ...
Tuesday, 25 November 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q2' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 49.55
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, gained week on week.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.12 (-0.24%) ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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