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Wednesday, 28 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
With most traders having returned to action from year end festivities, we have already seen signs of activity in the specialized product markets. Long-haul trades, - namely vegetable oil shipments from South America and the deep-sea MR market from Southeast Asia to Med/Continent - are increasingly active. On the other hand, the demand across the inter-regional palm oil trade lanes has weakened.
The slow pace of enquiry to India and China for palm oils during the year end, has remained evident in the first days of 2015. A small number of car-goes in January and sporadic cargo enquiries already quoted for February, have resulted in increased availability of prompt tonnage and lower freight rates. The rates for Straits/WCI bss 10-12k shipments are between 29-31 US$/pmt and 27-29 US$/pmt bss 10-12k shipments to ECI.
Analysts say that recent major floods in high-producing palm oil areas of Malaysia, the world’s second-largest grower, will take a toll on the country’s outputs and they are likely to fall further. As such, and in view of increased exports due to the upcoming Chinese New Year festivities, we expect the market to experience some activity with a positive effect on freight rates.
While many traders expected hire-rates for long-haul MR trips to fall at the start of the year, the market has proved them wrong. The continuous delays in both new-building scheduled deliveries and ships discharging soft oils in India are the main factors that keep hire rate levels around 20,000-22,000 pd; with the higher rates being attributed to the ‘’ECO-MRs’’.
It is true however, that with a 40-50% drop on bunker prices over the last months, the operational cost advantage is not so evident for the latter, as charterers might end-up with a cheaper solution when taking a ‘’normal MR’’ at a lower hire rate. Finally 33-40,000 shipments to Continent are still earning around low 60 US$/pmt and 55 US$/pmt on voyage bss.
Overall, there has been a fair amount of activity out of South America for soya been oil exports during the start of the year. The driving forces behind this demand have been India and Europe while China has been almost obsolete. While the Atlantic CPP market is slightly cooling off, but still at healthy rates, there might be other ships apart from the non-CPP players and the older candidates, that would look at veg oil out of South America. As such, this might give charterers, the opportunity to push rates back.
The situation ex - Black Sea is similar. While the cross-Med CPP market has slightly softened, it is still far from poor and leaves owners with better earnings than a veg oil voyage. Despite increased activity towards all destinations, Westbound cargoes are preferable especially to ice-class candidates, as the ice-season has arrived; unless you are an Owner with older tonnage or have contractual commitments in the East. In any case, it seems that charterers will not get a very competitive rate, for either taking a higher-spec vessel West or taking a dedicated CPP trader East.
On a last note, it is certain that the continuous drop of bunker and crude oil prices will have a great impact on the shipping markets during 2015 as well. But to what extend this trend will continue translating into higher freight rates, is probably the right question to ask.
By: Stelios Kollintzas
Specialized Products Desk
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Friday, 26 December 14
SHIPS FACE LOWER SULPHUR FUEL REQUIREMENTS IN EMISSION CONTROL AREAS FROM 1 JANUARY 2015 - IMO
Ships trading in designated emission control areas will have to use on board fuel oil with a sulphur content of no more than 0.10% from 1 January 2 ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
CAPE DEMAND WAS STILL EXTREMELY SOFT THIS PAST WEEK ACROSS BOTH BASINS - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The performance of the Dry Bulk market, which found itself in desperate search of support for yet another week, has left very little ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - JOHN N. COTZIAS, INTERMODAL SNP BROKER
The year is coming to an end, and we should be able to assess if this was a good year, a bad year, or even a lousy one? The answer clearly de ...
Tuesday, 23 December 14
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP GAINED 48 CENTS IN ONE WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and gained week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lo ...
Tuesday, 23 December 14
Q4'15 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS FALL $ 3.85 IN A MONTH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 2.13 (-3.17%) month on month ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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