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Wednesday, 28 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
With most traders having returned to action from year end festivities, we have already seen signs of activity in the specialized product markets. Long-haul trades, - namely vegetable oil shipments from South America and the deep-sea MR market from Southeast Asia to Med/Continent - are increasingly active. On the other hand, the demand across the inter-regional palm oil trade lanes has weakened.
The slow pace of enquiry to India and China for palm oils during the year end, has remained evident in the first days of 2015. A small number of car-goes in January and sporadic cargo enquiries already quoted for February, have resulted in increased availability of prompt tonnage and lower freight rates. The rates for Straits/WCI bss 10-12k shipments are between 29-31 US$/pmt and 27-29 US$/pmt bss 10-12k shipments to ECI.
Analysts say that recent major floods in high-producing palm oil areas of Malaysia, the world’s second-largest grower, will take a toll on the country’s outputs and they are likely to fall further. As such, and in view of increased exports due to the upcoming Chinese New Year festivities, we expect the market to experience some activity with a positive effect on freight rates.
While many traders expected hire-rates for long-haul MR trips to fall at the start of the year, the market has proved them wrong. The continuous delays in both new-building scheduled deliveries and ships discharging soft oils in India are the main factors that keep hire rate levels around 20,000-22,000 pd; with the higher rates being attributed to the ‘’ECO-MRs’’.
It is true however, that with a 40-50% drop on bunker prices over the last months, the operational cost advantage is not so evident for the latter, as charterers might end-up with a cheaper solution when taking a ‘’normal MR’’ at a lower hire rate. Finally 33-40,000 shipments to Continent are still earning around low 60 US$/pmt and 55 US$/pmt on voyage bss.
Overall, there has been a fair amount of activity out of South America for soya been oil exports during the start of the year. The driving forces behind this demand have been India and Europe while China has been almost obsolete. While the Atlantic CPP market is slightly cooling off, but still at healthy rates, there might be other ships apart from the non-CPP players and the older candidates, that would look at veg oil out of South America. As such, this might give charterers, the opportunity to push rates back.
The situation ex - Black Sea is similar. While the cross-Med CPP market has slightly softened, it is still far from poor and leaves owners with better earnings than a veg oil voyage. Despite increased activity towards all destinations, Westbound cargoes are preferable especially to ice-class candidates, as the ice-season has arrived; unless you are an Owner with older tonnage or have contractual commitments in the East. In any case, it seems that charterers will not get a very competitive rate, for either taking a higher-spec vessel West or taking a dedicated CPP trader East.
On a last note, it is certain that the continuous drop of bunker and crude oil prices will have a great impact on the shipping markets during 2015 as well. But to what extend this trend will continue translating into higher freight rates, is probably the right question to ask.
By: Stelios Kollintzas
Specialized Products Desk
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 13 March 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.3% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Friday, 13 March 15
ADARO RECORDED A 7% INCREASE IN EBITDA OF $877 MILLION IN 2014
“Coal market continues to be difficult and challenging” – Adaro Energy
The world’s Top 5 thermal coal exporter, ...
Thursday, 12 March 15
CAPESIZE : ACTIVITY IS LOW; PANAMAX: BIT MORE ACTIVITY; HANDY: A FIRMING WEEK
Handy
It has been a firming week in both hemispheres this week and especially in the Pacific, says Fearnleys AS in its week's week report.
...
Thursday, 12 March 15
COAL MINERS REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE AS GLUT CONTINUES - THE JAKARTA POST
Indonesia’s major coal miners reported a significant drop in their earnings last year as the sharp drop in the global demand, mainly from Chi ...
Thursday, 12 March 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP DROP TO $47.33 A TON IN THE WEEK ENDED MAR.6
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 drop month on month and week over week.
The Q2 swap fell US$ 0.37 (0.78%) month ...
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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