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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 02 December 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS LOST MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week on week and day over day.
The Q1 swap has lost U ...
Tuesday, 02 December 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL Q1' 15 DELIVERY SWAP CLOSED AT US$ 49.50
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.4 ...
Monday, 01 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 52.50
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.50 on 28 November after losing US$ 1.20 (-2.23%) month ove ...
Monday, 01 December 14
Q2' 15 DELIVERY CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED 0.42% LOWER THAN Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 2.45 (-3.78%) month over month and US$ 0.67 (-1.06%) we ...
Sunday, 30 November 14
SUPRAMAX COAL FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA : FIRM
COALspot.com: The BDI fell 171 points and closed at 1153 points on Friday 28 November 2014. The Cape index also lost 887 points and closed at 2151 ...
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Coal Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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