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Wednesday, 21 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS, INTERMODAL
 The World Bank has lowered its forecast for global growth in 2015 to 3% down from its previous level of 3.4% amid rising concerns over the economic prospects of several economies. The traditional engines of global economic growth with the exception of the United States and the United Kingdom seem to be running out of steam while at the same time a number of emerging economies are also entering troubled waters.
The Eurozone economies are suffering from anaemic growth rates, low inflation and a prolonged inability to coordinate their policies in order to over-come their current predicament. Similarly the Japanese economy is also suffering despite the extended monetary stimulus implemented by the Bank of Japan.
Among the emerging economies, Russia and Brazil have seen their economies stall as they are affected, among other factors, by falling commodity prices. The latter are expected to remain soft in the years to come, significantly hitting those economies that depend heavily on natural resources. Besides the much talked fall in oil prices, iron ore and coal prices have also seen significant decreases during the last months.
Among the key factors for this drop is China’s slowing economy. Although the latter is still growing, it has entered a path of gradual deceleration that already affects the world trade. The latter is expected to remain week during 2015 far away from its pre-crisis levels. At the shipping industry we have already seen the implication of this deceleration especially in the dry sector. The current adverse situation is reflected in the BCI index where we are reaching historical lows almost on a daily basis. During the last weeks the index has lost significant ground and the prospects remain dim as further drops in China’s GDP growth rate are expected to have additional negative implication for the world economy both for developed and developing economies.
Although the world outlook for 2015 does not look so good, pessimism should not dominate the market sentiment. We have entered a point in time where the much anticipated policy actions by governments and central banks to support economic activity are ante portas and the results can be nothing but positive. The ECB is anticipated to expand its balance sheet with purchases of sovereign bonds to support Eurozone economies and the economies of the United States and United Kingdom are expected to remain on the positive path.
China has already adopted measures to avoid financial distress and a number of other policy instruments are available to support its economy. In addition, low oil prices are expected to boost economic activity helping several emerging economies to improve their output outlook. Among them, India, which according to the World Bank is expected to overtake China as the world’s fastest growing big economy within the next two years, has seen its coal imports rise significantly since last year as the country tries to meet its growing power demand.
To sum up, despite the current difficulties that the world economy faces, a closer look suggests that there is room for significant improvement during 2015.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 26 December 14
SHIPS FACE LOWER SULPHUR FUEL REQUIREMENTS IN EMISSION CONTROL AREAS FROM 1 JANUARY 2015 - IMO
Ships trading in designated emission control areas will have to use on board fuel oil with a sulphur content of no more than 0.10% from 1 January 2 ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
CAPE DEMAND WAS STILL EXTREMELY SOFT THIS PAST WEEK ACROSS BOTH BASINS - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The performance of the Dry Bulk market, which found itself in desperate search of support for yet another week, has left very little ...
Wednesday, 24 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - JOHN N. COTZIAS, INTERMODAL SNP BROKER
The year is coming to an end, and we should be able to assess if this was a good year, a bad year, or even a lousy one? The answer clearly de ...
Tuesday, 23 December 14
Q1'15 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP GAINED 48 CENTS IN ONE WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month and gained week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lo ...
Tuesday, 23 December 14
Q4'15 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS FALL $ 3.85 IN A MONTH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 2.13 (-3.17%) month on month ...
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- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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