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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 05 January 15
FIVE ENERGY SURPRISES FOR 2015: THE POSSIBLE AND THE IMPROBABLE - KURT COBB
The coming year is likely to be as full of surprises in the field of energy as 2014 was. We just don't know which surprises! I am not predictin ...
Monday, 05 January 15
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2014 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
2014 started with plenty of optimism for a considerably better global economy and an improved shipping market. Things turned out somewhat different ...
Monday, 05 January 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1'15 DELIVERY CLOSED US$ 0.45 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 0.60 per MT (-1.15%) month over month and gained US$ 0.02 (+0.04%) ...
Sunday, 04 January 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX CONTINUES ITS DECLINE IN 2015
Wish you all a very Happy New Year 2015. The last report was dated 19th Dec 2014 and due to Christmas and new year holidays no reports were publish ...
Saturday, 03 January 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FELL 11.2% TO 17.6 MMST WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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