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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners, are the vast majority of this demand was serviced via seaborne cargoes. However, as the commodity market was plagued by speculators and many relative trades, more often than not, higher prices didn’t necessarily translate to higher demand for cargoes. As such, the latest downward trend among major commodities, isn’t all that bad for members of the shipping community, as they could ignite an increased demand from a series of nations.
In any case, as Allied Shipbroking’s latest report indicated, “we are set for another difficult year for commodities. Faced with strong pressure from a continually increasing US Dollar, a marginal increase in demand and an excessive oversupply glut, it will be hard to note a complete reversal within the next 12 months. Much of the drive in the commodity prices has been the great economic performance of several emerging economies with most notable of these being China. Things have changed however, as China has already seen its growth levels slowdown considerably over the past months and many economic analysts expect an even further slowdown within this year”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations with Allied Shipbroking, “at the same time a number of other high performing BRICS have sud-denly found themselves facing considerable economic problems. Russia is one of the obvious ones which has been greatly publicized in the international press. Nevertheless, it is some of the economies hidden in the back pages of economic news journals that hide further troubles ahead. Brazil has seen a reversal of its previous stellar per-formance showing considerable unrest and further cuts in its growth outlook, while many are worried over raised forecasts of inflation. This leaves us with only India and South Africa as potential champions amongst emerging economies which could take up the driver’s seat and push for further global trade growth. India has already started to show signs of ramping up its consumption of several key commodities and while it’s a major producer for several of these commodities as well, we might see a reversal as it starts to become a major importer picking up importance from its growing industrial production. Worth pointing out is the add bonuses it could bring to seaborne trade through higher tonne-mile demand as it will push most of Asia to source its commodities from further away locations. Nevertheless we are still far away from seeing anywhere near the level of importance taken up by China, nor is it yet in the position to cover fully any waning demand growth by China”, Lazaridis pointed.
He added though that “yet, as things stand now, attention has started to shift back to the more developed economies. Europe has a lot of issues still to deal with and after the most recent economic figures coming from The Old Continent, it looks as though we could be set for even further trouble during the first quarter. There is however one economy both big enough to drive a rebound in the global economy. Much will be bet this year on the U.S. recovery and as things continue to improve, so will its appetite for trade. As it drives for further consumption of finished goods sourced from mostly from the emerging economies such as China and India, its demand could be catalytic in pushing these economies back into drive. At the same time, even Europe could start to benefit from the U.S. recovery cause as it gains traction and the Euro continues to weaken against the Dollar so will the cost of Europe’s exports to the U.S. making them more competitive. Looking more long-term therefore, we might finally be in sight of the turning point towards better market conditions. An improved U.S. economy might be perfectly timed with lower commodity prices slowly amplifying demand while creating a steady base for consumption of goods worldwide. This should be in practice more balanced and rigid growth, nevertheless it will be a slow process and we are unlikely to see a complete reversal especially as political turmoil continues to shake things about”, Lazaridis concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 28 January 15
CAPES CONTINUED THEIR UPWARD MOVEMENT LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market displayed a mirror performance of that of the week prior, with the Capesize market correcting further upwards and ...
Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q1 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 47.87 FOR WEEK ENDING JAN. 23
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 gain week over week and declined month on month.
The Q1 swap has decline US$ 0.9 ...
Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q2 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP UP 4.5% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.28 per MT (-0.54%) month over month and increased US$ 1.23 ( ...
Monday, 26 January 15
OVERSUPPLY, AMPLE STOCKPILES, AND LACKLUSTER UNDERLYING STEEL DEMAND KEPT COKING COAL PRICES LOW IN 2014
COALspot.com: Coking coal prices (FOB & CFR) fell 15% and 18% respectively during the year, amidst persistent oversupply, ample inventory and s ...
Monday, 26 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY Q2 COAL SWAP CLOSED LOWER THAN Q1 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has fell ...
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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