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Wednesday, 07 January 15
2015 IS RIDDLED WITH CHALLENGES FOR THE SHIPPING SECTOR, MOST NOTABLY THE DRY BULK MARKET - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the new year has now set foot for real, many are still looking to detect what’s in store for the various shipping markets, with the first quarter of the year been the “compass” which will point towards this year’s direction in shipping. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Allied Shipbroking, “with the dry bulk market having started off the year on a fairly negative note there are some that see it as setting the tone of what we are set to see during the next 12 months. Though taking a look at the composite leading indicators for both China and India as well as the recent pick up in interest for iron ore we might be seeing an improvement in the works”.
Allied’s George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, “there are however great fears to overcome this year before we can see better days. The recent economic crisis in Russia caused by the crippling sanctions brought about from the West and the drastic drop in oil prices (energy accounts for 25% of Russia’s gross domestic product – GDP) creates woes of global trade imbalance. At the same time worries have resurfaced regarding the stability and growth potential of the Euro-zone, as many voice concerns of a potential Greek exit from the Eurozone after the upcoming elections. Further to this, some of the largest economies, such as China, Japan and Germany, as well as several emerging markets have to tackle a slowdown in economic growth. This is all set to take place on the back drop of a fairly strong growth in the carrying capacity of the dry bulk fleet and it’s the dry bulk fleet that is most under threat now”.
According to the shipbroker, “most of the above mentioned will be fairly cleared out within the first two months of the year, while at the same time we should start to be able to get a better idea as to the direction the market will take. The hopes are for a stronger global GDP growth, with forecasts pointing to a 2.9% increase this year compared to 2.5% estimated to have been seen in 2014. This is mainly to be driven by the more bullish U.S. economy as well as an overall benefit that is expected to be seen if the current low oil prices persist. With regards to the latter the IMF has pointed to an increase of up to 0.7% in global economic activity which will be accounted by the lower energy prices. Further to this, the fact that most commodity prices have weakened considerably in the second half of 2014, means that overall costs have weakened, while these lower prices will allow for a continuation of the current low interest rate policies”.
Lazaridis added that “the current fog of uncertainty is likely to clear out after the Chinese New Year in mid-February. If the outcome is positive, we should see a spark of buying interest as prices will be ripe for the picking. If things turn for the worst then we might be set for a very difficult year, hopefully allowing for a clear out of some of the excesses that had been made in the past. In any case it looks as though 2015 will be giving truth to the phrase “the night is darkest just before the dawn”, or so we would like to hope”, he concluded.
Meanwhile, in the newbuilding market over these past couple of weeks, Allied said that “with 2014 having closed off at a fairly poor note and everyone worry-ing of even tougher market conditions to follow in the first half of 2015, many shipbuilders have already lowered their targets for the year, while we are likely to see a more aggressive marketing approach in an effort to steal some interest from the secondhand market. The way prices are holding right now this seems fairly difficult as it is hard to convince buyers to pay out such a premium the way the market is currently moving. At the same time, difficulties in terms of financing are likely to continue on in 2015, with particular difficulties to be seen as to the issuance of refund guarantees. As things stand now. S. Kore-an shipbuilders are better placed having put considerable focus on the tanker market as well as other niche markets which have been performing better in terms of earnings. In terms, of rumored deals, S. Korea’s Daewoo Shipbuilding has se-cured an order for 2 ice class LNG (172,000cbm) carriers for a price of US$ 317.0m each with delivery between 2017 and 2019″.
Finally, in the market for secondhand vessels, “further price drops have been noted in the Dry Bulk sector despite the limited activity which has taken place. Buyers have preferred to stay in the sidelines waiting for things to soften further, while many hope to see prices reach closer to the levels seen in early 2013. Interms of reported deals the Handysize “LEYDEN” (28k, 1995, Japan) was picked up for a price of US$ 5.1m. Things have been more bullish in the tanker sector, were the very promising performance in the freight market has rekindled interest by many buyers especially for the larger crude carriers. It is noteworthy to mention the fleet purchase by Genmar of 14 VLCC resales at a total enbloc price US$ 1.4bn”, Allied concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide
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Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDIA TO SURPASS THE UNITED STATES AND BECOME THE SECOND-LARGEST COAL CONSUMER IN THE WORLD BY 2019 - IMF
COALspot.com: In 2013, coal added more primary energy than any other fuel and was the fastest-growing fossil fuel, enhancing its position as the se ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
INDONESIAN COAL OUTPUT SEEN RISING, DESPITE FALL IN ITS PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week, but Indonesian Coal Output Seen Rising. T ...
Tuesday, 20 January 15
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY DECLINED 2.83% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.83%) month over month and US$ 0.50 (-0.99%) we ...
Monday, 19 January 15
HBA FALL TO FRESH LOWS; COAL OVERSUPPLY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH PRICE DOWN
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal bench mark price this month to US$ 63.84. T ...
Monday, 19 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS REMAIN WEAK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.37 (-5.63%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.74 (-1.29%) ...
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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