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Monday, 29 December 14
CHINESE COAL IMPORTS: REGULATORY RISKS? - CLARKSONS
In recent years, Chinese seaborne coal imports have surged, registering average growth of 67% p.a. between 2009 and 2013 to total 265mt. However, this trend has not continued in the year to date, with seaborne coal imports into China down 7% year-on-year in the first ten months of 2014. Meanwhile, this year, China has introduced several regulations which may limit coal imports even further.
Falling Imports
In January-October 2014, Chinese seaborne steam coal imports (including lignite) fell 2% y-o-y to 161.4mt, partly as favourable weather conditions contributed to a surge in domestic hydro-power output, which reduced reliance on coal-fired power. Meanwhile, the availability of landborne coking coal from Mongolia has risen this year, following supply disruptions in 2013, which has led to a fall in seaborne imports. Furthermore, slower growth in Chinese steel production has contributed to a 23% y-o-y fall in coking coal imports in the year to date. Indonesia and Australia supply most of China’s coal imports, accounting for 45% and 37% of imports during this period. In the year to date, the fall in imports from Indonesia has accounted for 79% of the decline in Chinese coal imports, while imports from Australia have risen steadily.
Regulatory Review
Additionally, the recent introduction of new regulations may be starting to have an impact on imports. In September, China’s NDRC requested that major power producers contribute to a 40mt cut in steam coal imports in the remainder of 2014, which has partly reduced coal import demand. In mid-October, China introduced a 3% tax on coking coal imports and a 5-6% tax on steam coal imports, following on from the 3% lignite import tax put in place in September 2013. Although the taxes are aimed at supporting China’s domestic coal industry, the ASEAN free trade agreement (FTA), as well as the recently negotiated China-Australia FTA, may limit the impact on imports going forward, given that Indonesia and Australia together account for almost 80% of Chinese coal imports.
Future Prospects
There are also further restrictions which may affect imports from 2015. The NDRC will place limits on the quality of coal allowed to be produced, imported and sold, with stricter restrictions on coal transported more than 600km from port of entry to place of consumption. More stringent limits will be placed on the sale and use of coal in major coal consuming regions.
Given these limits, it seems likely that imports from Australia may be most affected. While some miners have indicated that they will be able to “wash” coal in order to meet restrictions, it is clear that China is taking steps to improve air quality and support domestic coal producers.
As a result, Chinese coal imports are expected to fall in 2015, although the extent of the decline is not yet clear. Since China has driven most of the recent growth in coal trade, total expansion may be slower in the short-term, compared to the double digit growth recorded in recent years. As such, the balance of the global picture appears to be shifting to India, where there remains significant potential for strong import growth.
Source: Clarksons / Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 05 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAINED WEEK OVER WEEK, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 2.50 (-4.02%) month over month and gained US$ 0.20 ( ...
Monday, 05 January 15
FIVE ENERGY SURPRISES FOR 2015: THE POSSIBLE AND THE IMPROBABLE - KURT COBB
The coming year is likely to be as full of surprises in the field of energy as 2014 was. We just don't know which surprises! I am not predictin ...
Monday, 05 January 15
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2014 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
2014 started with plenty of optimism for a considerably better global economy and an improved shipping market. Things turned out somewhat different ...
Monday, 05 January 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1'15 DELIVERY CLOSED US$ 0.45 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 0.60 per MT (-1.15%) month over month and gained US$ 0.02 (+0.04%) ...
Sunday, 04 January 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX CONTINUES ITS DECLINE IN 2015
Wish you all a very Happy New Year 2015. The last report was dated 19th Dec 2014 and due to Christmas and new year holidays no reports were publish ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Australian Coal Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
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