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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 16 October 14
ARE WE GOING TO SHOOT OURSELVES IN THE FOOT ONCE AGAIN? - PANOS MAKRINOS
As the East part of our globe was coming back from its October holidays last week, everyone expected that the Dry Bulk market would follow suit and ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
PANAMAX: ACTIVITY IN THE PACIFIC WAS UNIMPRESSIVE
The Dry Bulk market noted another weekly decline last week, while the BDI moved below 1,000 points taking down with it expectations that a post hol ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE FELL TO FRESH MULTI-YEAR LOWS IN OCTOBER
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in October 2014.
...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
DRY BULK SHIPPING: RATE IMPROVEMENTS ARRIVED AS FORECAST, BUT UNCERTAINTY MOUNTS FOR 2015 DEMAND - BIMCO
BIMCO released its latest short term assessment of the dry bulk market, estimating that over the October-November period, the level of Capesize TC ...
Wednesday, 15 October 14
SHIPOWNER NOT LIABLE FOR CARGO DAMAGE RESULTING FROM POOR STOWAGE - CLYDE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Russian metal trading company Yuzhny Zavod Metall Profil (YZMP), the holder of a CONGEN 1994 bill of lading, took delivery o ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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