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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 02 December 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS LOST MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week on week and day over day.
The Q1 swap has lost U ...
Tuesday, 02 December 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL Q1' 15 DELIVERY SWAP CLOSED AT US$ 49.50
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.4 ...
Monday, 01 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 52.50
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.50 on 28 November after losing US$ 1.20 (-2.23%) month ove ...
Monday, 01 December 14
Q2' 15 DELIVERY CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED 0.42% LOWER THAN Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 2.45 (-3.78%) month over month and US$ 0.67 (-1.06%) we ...
Sunday, 30 November 14
SUPRAMAX COAL FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA : FIRM
COALspot.com: The BDI fell 171 points and closed at 1153 points on Friday 28 November 2014. The Cape index also lost 887 points and closed at 2151 ...
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
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