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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 02 December 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS LOST MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week on week and day over day.
The Q1 swap has lost U ...
Tuesday, 02 December 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL Q1' 15 DELIVERY SWAP CLOSED AT US$ 49.50
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.4 ...
Monday, 01 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 52.50
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.50 on 28 November after losing US$ 1.20 (-2.23%) month ove ...
Monday, 01 December 14
Q2' 15 DELIVERY CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED 0.42% LOWER THAN Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 2.45 (-3.78%) month over month and US$ 0.67 (-1.06%) we ...
Sunday, 30 November 14
SUPRAMAX COAL FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA : FIRM
COALspot.com: The BDI fell 171 points and closed at 1153 points on Friday 28 November 2014. The Cape index also lost 887 points and closed at 2151 ...
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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