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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 14 January 15
DRY BULK MARKET NOTED ANOTHER WEEKLY DECLINE - INTERMODAL
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Wednesday, 14 January 15
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
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Wednesday, 14 January 15
COMMODITIES AREN'T PRIMED FOR A REBOUND DURING 2015: SHIPPING COULD BENEFIT FROM LOWER PRICES - ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In the recent past, higher commodity prices were driven by an increase in demand from developing countries, which spelled good news for ship owners ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q1 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 46.97 PMT
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q1 swap has fell US$ 1.53 (-3.15 ...
Wednesday, 14 January 15
Q4' 15 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED 4.51% LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 PRICE
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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