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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 28 January 15
CAPES CONTINUED THEIR UPWARD MOVEMENT LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market displayed a mirror performance of that of the week prior, with the Capesize market correcting further upwards and ...
Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q1 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 47.87 FOR WEEK ENDING JAN. 23
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 gain week over week and declined month on month.
The Q1 swap has decline US$ 0.9 ...
Tuesday, 27 January 15
Q2 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP UP 4.5% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.28 per MT (-0.54%) month over month and increased US$ 1.23 ( ...
Monday, 26 January 15
OVERSUPPLY, AMPLE STOCKPILES, AND LACKLUSTER UNDERLYING STEEL DEMAND KEPT COKING COAL PRICES LOW IN 2014
COALspot.com: Coking coal prices (FOB & CFR) fell 15% and 18% respectively during the year, amidst persistent oversupply, ample inventory and s ...
Monday, 26 January 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY Q2 COAL SWAP CLOSED LOWER THAN Q1 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1' 2015 declined month over month and day on day.
The Q1 swap has fell ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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