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Wednesday, 17 December 14
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL SHANGHAI, SNP TEAM
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, we are all witness to the second hand market prices softening day by day. Any new deal surfacing the market is at significantly lower level compared to the previous last done. In this respect, some Owners are accepting these new discounted levels, ac-cepting the new asset level reality, whereas others prefer to withdraw their ships or chose to wait, hoping to find more eager Buyers who can pay their aiming levels.
For the modern dry bulker tonnages, Owners are still holding back and are insisting on asking prices, which in some cases are more in sync with the levels of the market six months ago. Most of them, however, are trying to fix the ships in small period contracts that will help them sit through the bad market in the next few months, hoping that by the end of the contracts they will face a better market. Some unrealistically priced sale candidates, which still remain in the market, have created a small increase in the supply of tonnage for sale which does not help the more serious Sellers to get a good or at least a decent price for their vessels.
Demolition prices are softening every week and the period of time where the prices were around 480-500 usd/ldt for bulkers is well behind us. Today, we can see Owners receiving figures at around 420-430 usd/ldt basis deliv-ery in Bangladesh or West coast of India. Many people in this industry are pessimistic and they don’t expect any increase in demo prices in the near future, with some expecting average demo bids to fall below the 400 usd/ldt mark sooner rather than later. The iron ore and steel price remain on a downward slope, while the continuous imports of cheap Chinese scrap steel is still the main hurdle faced by demo breakers in the Indian subcontinent.
The softening of the demo market, has had a big impact on the selling prices of the early/mid 90s built dry bulk carriers since their value calculation is usually based on the demo price plus a premium. This is most notable on Panamax and Handymax dry bulk tonnage, which have lost significant value during the past months and all this doesn’t seem to be changing soon, as the vessels on the market are too many and the majority of the Buyers are based in China, who is well accustomed in being patient in order to get something cheap.
Chinese Buyers already seem to be attracted by the present lows of the mar-ket and there is definitely some warming up of activity here. However, as everybody has a feeling that prices will most probably keep dropping, as a result of the continuously softening demo prices, most potential Buyers chose to wait a little further before they invest in second-hand tonnage. The logic behind this is that instead of acquiring now a low-mid 90’s blt ship, there might be an opportunity in the very near future to purchase, at a simi-lar value, a late 90’s blt tonnage.
Hopefully, these bad market conditions will come to an end soon. If this situation persists for long enough though, everybody involved in the indus-try will start facing problems. On the other hand, this hasn’t had a significant effect on Tanker Owners who are trading in a significantly improved freight market, ever since oil prices dropped and demand of oil increased. But whether this perfect storm will continue to favor the tanker market is the million dollar question here.
By Intermodal Shanghai office, SnP Team
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 10 February 15
IRON ORE MARKET TO REMAIN OVERSUPPLIED IN 2015: PRICE FORECAST $70/T - WOOD MACKENZIE
COALspot.com: With January witnessing the price of iron ore falling to its lowest levels since May 2009, Roger Emslie, Principal Metals & ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP ADVANCES 3.79% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap up US$ 0.85 (+1.81%) month o ...
Tuesday, 10 February 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS SURGE WEEK OVER WEEK, RAISING HOPES?
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 0.95 per MT (+1.91%) week over week and declined US$ 0.06 (-0.12%) ...
Monday, 09 February 15
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRODUCERS BEST POSITIONED IN OVERSUPPLIED MARKET; US MINES MOST AT RISK - WOOD MACKENZIE
In a 2015 global coal outlook report, Wood Mackenzie says that Australia and Indonesian coal suppliers will see some upside in the difficult months ...
Monday, 09 February 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP GAINS 3.65% TO ONE-MONTH HIGH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and day on day.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 2.1 ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
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- VISA Power Limited - India
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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