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Wednesday, 03 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The dry bulk market seems unable to turn sentiment round and is still looking for direction. The BCI's 887-point free fall last week had an obvious negative influence on the market, decelerating the “positive” movement of the other dry bulker segments. Although average freight rates have improved considerably compared to average levels of Q3, they are still well below expectations built up before the last quarter. It is clear by now that this bitter taste will usher us into the New Year as well. Under the current freight environment and with rates looking unable to bounce back up for longer periods, it seems that investment interest is scaling back currently.
In the New Building sector, the very strong 2013 in terms of orders and the equally strong beginning of this year as well, originally allowed Shipbuilders to become more relaxed as their slots were fully booked for 2015 and the 1st half of 2016. As the last quarter of 2014 is nearing to its end, the lack of demand for securing new slots and the increasing number of non-effective orders has changed sentiment dramatically though, pushing yards to become more accommodating in their price expectations and even offer substantial discounts in certain cases. As a matter of fact, Top Chinese shipyards are currently willing to offer Ultramax and Kamsarmax slots at USD 27.0m and USD 29.0m respectively, but even prices like that are considered too expensive to attract the attention of owners who could be considering a newbuilding order. In the same spirit, resale candidates are also facing lack of interest as the current freight market is not tempting enough for an owner to pay the premium.
At the same time, the downward correction of demolition prices during the past weeks by more than $50/$60 per long ton, has had an immediate effect on older assets, although given the highs demo prices reached this year, even after such corrections, the current levels of $430/$440 per long ton, offered in the Indian sub-Continent for dry bulk units are still relatively attractive. Therefore vessels built up to 1995 are currently in the market for scrap related prices, with small differentiations relative to their size, SS/DD position and delivery place. Tonnages built within the first decade of 2000 enjoy the most interest, while at the same time these vessels present heavily corrected prices, which are comparable to 2012 levels.
The softening of Japan’s currency has simultaneously brought additional sale candidates in the market, with buyers concentrating in modern Japanese built tonnage with the view that a quick profit could be locked by what looks like another mini-cycle in terms of asset values. As evidenced by the table above table, vessels prices are very close to bottom levels reached back in the December 2012 – January 2013 period, while the freight market has been fairing at better levels compared to that period, possibly implying opportunities to be found in the second-hand market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis, SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 01 October 14
ASIAN THERMAL COAL PRICES TO REMAIN WEAK ON OVERSUPPLY - FITCH
COALspot.com: The thermal coal market in Asia will remain oversupplied in the next 12 months, in spite of on-going rationalisation of production, a ...
Wednesday, 01 October 14
PANAMAXES: DEFENSIVE, STRUGGLING TO KEEP ANY FURTHER DECREASES - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market seemed unable to shake off the trend of the week prior and the BDI remained on a downward slope for the bigger pa ...
Wednesday, 01 October 14
FITCH: GLOBAL ECONOMY FACES MULTI-SPEED RECOVERY, MULTIPLE RISKS
Fitch Ratings says in its latest Global Economic Outlook (GEO) that global growth will pick up in 2015 and 2016, but risks are weighted to the down ...
Tuesday, 30 September 14
COALVIEW TO PARTICIPATE AT MET COKE WORLD SUMMIT 2014 IN CHICAGO
COALspot.com: Coalview Ltd., LLC(“Coalview”) America's leading fully integrated coal technology and fine coal recovery company prov ...
Monday, 29 September 14
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORT VOLUME FALL IN AUGUST
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producers and the global leading multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.50 ...
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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