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Wednesday, 03 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The dry bulk market seems unable to turn sentiment round and is still looking for direction. The BCI's 887-point free fall last week had an obvious negative influence on the market, decelerating the “positive” movement of the other dry bulker segments. Although average freight rates have improved considerably compared to average levels of Q3, they are still well below expectations built up before the last quarter. It is clear by now that this bitter taste will usher us into the New Year as well. Under the current freight environment and with rates looking unable to bounce back up for longer periods, it seems that investment interest is scaling back currently.
In the New Building sector, the very strong 2013 in terms of orders and the equally strong beginning of this year as well, originally allowed Shipbuilders to become more relaxed as their slots were fully booked for 2015 and the 1st half of 2016. As the last quarter of 2014 is nearing to its end, the lack of demand for securing new slots and the increasing number of non-effective orders has changed sentiment dramatically though, pushing yards to become more accommodating in their price expectations and even offer substantial discounts in certain cases. As a matter of fact, Top Chinese shipyards are currently willing to offer Ultramax and Kamsarmax slots at USD 27.0m and USD 29.0m respectively, but even prices like that are considered too expensive to attract the attention of owners who could be considering a newbuilding order. In the same spirit, resale candidates are also facing lack of interest as the current freight market is not tempting enough for an owner to pay the premium.
At the same time, the downward correction of demolition prices during the past weeks by more than $50/$60 per long ton, has had an immediate effect on older assets, although given the highs demo prices reached this year, even after such corrections, the current levels of $430/$440 per long ton, offered in the Indian sub-Continent for dry bulk units are still relatively attractive. Therefore vessels built up to 1995 are currently in the market for scrap related prices, with small differentiations relative to their size, SS/DD position and delivery place. Tonnages built within the first decade of 2000 enjoy the most interest, while at the same time these vessels present heavily corrected prices, which are comparable to 2012 levels.
The softening of Japan’s currency has simultaneously brought additional sale candidates in the market, with buyers concentrating in modern Japanese built tonnage with the view that a quick profit could be locked by what looks like another mini-cycle in terms of asset values. As evidenced by the table above table, vessels prices are very close to bottom levels reached back in the December 2012 – January 2013 period, while the freight market has been fairing at better levels compared to that period, possibly implying opportunities to be found in the second-hand market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis, SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 15 December 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE CRASHES THROUGH $65
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in December. HBA for t ...
Monday, 15 December 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP LOST $3.37 M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3,37 (-5.33%) month over month and US$ 1.58 (-2.57%) ...
Monday, 15 December 14
Q1' 15 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 51.45 ON 12 DEC
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.74%) closed at US$ 51.45 on 12 December month over ...
Sunday, 14 December 14
FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), a measure of commodity-shipping costs, fell 12.12 pct to 863 points week ending 12 December 2014.
Th ...
Friday, 12 December 14
LIMITED TRADING AND AN OVERSUPPLY OF TONNAGE PUSHED HANDY SIZE SHIPS TO DOWN IN USG
Handy
We have seen the TA spot market come down this week lead by limited trading and an oversupply of tonnage in the USG, Fearnleys said in its ...
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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