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Wednesday, 03 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The dry bulk market seems unable to turn sentiment round and is still looking for direction. The BCI's 887-point free fall last week had an obvious negative influence on the market, decelerating the “positive” movement of the other dry bulker segments. Although average freight rates have improved considerably compared to average levels of Q3, they are still well below expectations built up before the last quarter. It is clear by now that this bitter taste will usher us into the New Year as well. Under the current freight environment and with rates looking unable to bounce back up for longer periods, it seems that investment interest is scaling back currently.
In the New Building sector, the very strong 2013 in terms of orders and the equally strong beginning of this year as well, originally allowed Shipbuilders to become more relaxed as their slots were fully booked for 2015 and the 1st half of 2016. As the last quarter of 2014 is nearing to its end, the lack of demand for securing new slots and the increasing number of non-effective orders has changed sentiment dramatically though, pushing yards to become more accommodating in their price expectations and even offer substantial discounts in certain cases. As a matter of fact, Top Chinese shipyards are currently willing to offer Ultramax and Kamsarmax slots at USD 27.0m and USD 29.0m respectively, but even prices like that are considered too expensive to attract the attention of owners who could be considering a newbuilding order. In the same spirit, resale candidates are also facing lack of interest as the current freight market is not tempting enough for an owner to pay the premium.
At the same time, the downward correction of demolition prices during the past weeks by more than $50/$60 per long ton, has had an immediate effect on older assets, although given the highs demo prices reached this year, even after such corrections, the current levels of $430/$440 per long ton, offered in the Indian sub-Continent for dry bulk units are still relatively attractive. Therefore vessels built up to 1995 are currently in the market for scrap related prices, with small differentiations relative to their size, SS/DD position and delivery place. Tonnages built within the first decade of 2000 enjoy the most interest, while at the same time these vessels present heavily corrected prices, which are comparable to 2012 levels.
The softening of Japan’s currency has simultaneously brought additional sale candidates in the market, with buyers concentrating in modern Japanese built tonnage with the view that a quick profit could be locked by what looks like another mini-cycle in terms of asset values. As evidenced by the table above table, vessels prices are very close to bottom levels reached back in the December 2012 – January 2013 period, while the freight market has been fairing at better levels compared to that period, possibly implying opportunities to be found in the second-hand market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis, SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 15 December 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE CRASHES THROUGH $65
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in December. HBA for t ...
Monday, 15 December 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP LOST $3.37 M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3,37 (-5.33%) month over month and US$ 1.58 (-2.57%) ...
Monday, 15 December 14
Q1' 15 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 51.45 ON 12 DEC
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.74%) closed at US$ 51.45 on 12 December month over ...
Sunday, 14 December 14
FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), a measure of commodity-shipping costs, fell 12.12 pct to 863 points week ending 12 December 2014.
Th ...
Friday, 12 December 14
LIMITED TRADING AND AN OVERSUPPLY OF TONNAGE PUSHED HANDY SIZE SHIPS TO DOWN IN USG
Handy
We have seen the TA spot market come down this week lead by limited trading and an oversupply of tonnage in the USG, Fearnleys said in its ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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