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Wednesday, 03 December 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The dry bulk market seems unable to turn sentiment round and is still looking for direction. The BCI's 887-point free fall last week had an obvious negative influence on the market, decelerating the “positive” movement of the other dry bulker segments. Although average freight rates have improved considerably compared to average levels of Q3, they are still well below expectations built up before the last quarter. It is clear by now that this bitter taste will usher us into the New Year as well. Under the current freight environment and with rates looking unable to bounce back up for longer periods, it seems that investment interest is scaling back currently.
In the New Building sector, the very strong 2013 in terms of orders and the equally strong beginning of this year as well, originally allowed Shipbuilders to become more relaxed as their slots were fully booked for 2015 and the 1st half of 2016. As the last quarter of 2014 is nearing to its end, the lack of demand for securing new slots and the increasing number of non-effective orders has changed sentiment dramatically though, pushing yards to become more accommodating in their price expectations and even offer substantial discounts in certain cases. As a matter of fact, Top Chinese shipyards are currently willing to offer Ultramax and Kamsarmax slots at USD 27.0m and USD 29.0m respectively, but even prices like that are considered too expensive to attract the attention of owners who could be considering a newbuilding order. In the same spirit, resale candidates are also facing lack of interest as the current freight market is not tempting enough for an owner to pay the premium.
At the same time, the downward correction of demolition prices during the past weeks by more than $50/$60 per long ton, has had an immediate effect on older assets, although given the highs demo prices reached this year, even after such corrections, the current levels of $430/$440 per long ton, offered in the Indian sub-Continent for dry bulk units are still relatively attractive. Therefore vessels built up to 1995 are currently in the market for scrap related prices, with small differentiations relative to their size, SS/DD position and delivery place. Tonnages built within the first decade of 2000 enjoy the most interest, while at the same time these vessels present heavily corrected prices, which are comparable to 2012 levels.
The softening of Japan’s currency has simultaneously brought additional sale candidates in the market, with buyers concentrating in modern Japanese built tonnage with the view that a quick profit could be locked by what looks like another mini-cycle in terms of asset values. As evidenced by the table above table, vessels prices are very close to bottom levels reached back in the December 2012 – January 2013 period, while the freight market has been fairing at better levels compared to that period, possibly implying opportunities to be found in the second-hand market.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis, SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 05 January 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAINED WEEK OVER WEEK, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 2.50 (-4.02%) month over month and gained US$ 0.20 ( ...
Monday, 05 January 15
FIVE ENERGY SURPRISES FOR 2015: THE POSSIBLE AND THE IMPROBABLE - KURT COBB
The coming year is likely to be as full of surprises in the field of energy as 2014 was. We just don't know which surprises! I am not predictin ...
Monday, 05 January 15
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2014 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
2014 started with plenty of optimism for a considerably better global economy and an improved shipping market. Things turned out somewhat different ...
Monday, 05 January 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1'15 DELIVERY CLOSED US$ 0.45 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 0.60 per MT (-1.15%) month over month and gained US$ 0.02 (+0.04%) ...
Sunday, 04 January 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX CONTINUES ITS DECLINE IN 2015
Wish you all a very Happy New Year 2015. The last report was dated 19th Dec 2014 and due to Christmas and new year holidays no reports were publish ...
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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