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Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX in its latest note.
SGX, Singapore Exchange represents the premier access point for managing Asian capital and investment exposure, and is Asia’s most international exchange with more than 40% of companies listed on SGX originating outside of Singapore.
SGX further said, the 30-day annualised volatility of the Baltic Dry Index has surpassed 50%, versus a Q3 average of 37%. This spike in volatility has been primarily driven by Capesize rates, with the Baltic Capesize Index 30-day annualised volatility averaging a staggering 138% so far this month.
According to SGX, year-to-date, the benchmark iron ore price has fallen 48% while thermal coal prices have also steadily declined through the course of the year. Freight rates meanwhile have been extremely volatile, but on average holding well at higher levels. As a result, freight rates have become a much more significant component of delivered iron ore and coal prices.
"In January 2014 for example, the C5 route (Western Australia to China) averaged less than 7% of the benchmark delivered iron ore price into China. At present, the same route makes up more than 13% of the delivered iron ore price. Falling bulk commodity prices have led freight to become a relatively more important consideration along the commodity value chain, and with volatility spiking, effective freight risk management tools have become all the more important," said SGX.
The dry bulk freight market is often subject to severe seasonality, with typically stronger demand through Q4. Iron ore, coal and steel account for about 60% of total dry bulk tonne-miles, according to Clarksons. Seasonality within the seaborne iron ore and thermal coal markets therefore has a significant impact on the dry bulk freight market, as noted by SGX.
SGX further said, Iron ore usually sees strong seaborne trade volumes during Q4 as producers look to maximise exports ahead of seasonal weather-related supply disruptions that often occur in Q1, while the Chinese steel industry typically restocks steelmaking raw materials ahead of the cold winter months/Chinese New Year. Over the past three years, Brazilian and Australian iron ore shipments have on average risen in Q4 (versus Q3) by 9% and 6%, respectively. Thermal coal also usually experiences higher seaborne volumes towards year-end in anticipation of winter as power supply companies look to build inventory. In the past three years, Indonesian and Australian thermal coal exports have on average risen by 17% and 5% respectively in Q4.
With relatively inelastic supply in the dry bulk freight market, these seasonal demand fluctuations can lead to heightened price volatility, and in past years freight rates have often risen in Q4. Indeed, recent prices rises in Capesize and Panamax rates are indicative of such seasonality. That said, uncertainty remains over whether we will see typical seasonal impacts sustained over the coming months. Reasons for such uncertainty and potentially unseasonal trends may include: (i) tight credit availability and ample iron ore port inventory in China, which may limit the degree of seasonal restocking; (ii) Chinese coal imports are declining, and government regulations appear supportive of this trend; and (iii) meteorologists are suggesting a high probability of an El Nino event this year, which may mean drier than usual weather in Australia and Indonesia, and potentially therefore lower than normal weather-related supply disruptions, concluded SGX.
According to SGX, it is managing both commodity & freight on one platform; capital efficiencies through margin optimisation
SGX uniquely provides effective risk management tools to manage both the underlying bulk commodity and freight rate exposures together on the same platform. Furthermore, with all products on one platform SGX is able to offer highly competitive intra-commodity margin offsets. With a range of margin credits across different freight products as well as intra-commodity margin offsets between freight and iron ore, SGX provides a unique value proposition for the clearing of freight and bulk commodity derivatives.
For more details about SGX please click here to visit its official website.
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Friday, 06 June 14
RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL SHIPPED 4.221 MMT OF COAL TO SOUTHERN ASIAN COUNTRIES IN MAY
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the single largest export coal terminal in the world, shipped 5.58 million tons ...
Thursday, 05 June 14
RBCT SOUTH AFRICA SHIPPED 21% LESS COAL IN APRIL COMPARED TO MARCH EXPORTS
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the single largest export coal terminal in the world, shipped 5.45 million tons ...
Thursday, 05 June 14
PANAMAX : THIS WEEK STARTED IN A SLOW PACE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
After last week's silent and unexciting week we see some more activity this week, especially from the South American market. The rates ...
Thursday, 05 June 14
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 2.91 MMT OF COAL IN THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The figure constitutes a 4.30 percent higher compared to the previous week, following a week on week decreased of 19.13 percent recor ...
Wednesday, 04 June 14
SKULD: DIVERSIFICATION AND A ROBUST BOTTOM LINE
In February, I was delighted to ring in the new policy year with the Skuld team following a solid renewal round and a strong year. 2013 was, in man ...
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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