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Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX in its latest note.
SGX, Singapore Exchange represents the premier access point for managing Asian capital and investment exposure, and is Asia’s most international exchange with more than 40% of companies listed on SGX originating outside of Singapore.
SGX further said, the 30-day annualised volatility of the Baltic Dry Index has surpassed 50%, versus a Q3 average of 37%. This spike in volatility has been primarily driven by Capesize rates, with the Baltic Capesize Index 30-day annualised volatility averaging a staggering 138% so far this month.
According to SGX, year-to-date, the benchmark iron ore price has fallen 48% while thermal coal prices have also steadily declined through the course of the year. Freight rates meanwhile have been extremely volatile, but on average holding well at higher levels. As a result, freight rates have become a much more significant component of delivered iron ore and coal prices.
"In January 2014 for example, the C5 route (Western Australia to China) averaged less than 7% of the benchmark delivered iron ore price into China. At present, the same route makes up more than 13% of the delivered iron ore price. Falling bulk commodity prices have led freight to become a relatively more important consideration along the commodity value chain, and with volatility spiking, effective freight risk management tools have become all the more important," said SGX.
The dry bulk freight market is often subject to severe seasonality, with typically stronger demand through Q4. Iron ore, coal and steel account for about 60% of total dry bulk tonne-miles, according to Clarksons. Seasonality within the seaborne iron ore and thermal coal markets therefore has a significant impact on the dry bulk freight market, as noted by SGX.
SGX further said, Iron ore usually sees strong seaborne trade volumes during Q4 as producers look to maximise exports ahead of seasonal weather-related supply disruptions that often occur in Q1, while the Chinese steel industry typically restocks steelmaking raw materials ahead of the cold winter months/Chinese New Year. Over the past three years, Brazilian and Australian iron ore shipments have on average risen in Q4 (versus Q3) by 9% and 6%, respectively. Thermal coal also usually experiences higher seaborne volumes towards year-end in anticipation of winter as power supply companies look to build inventory. In the past three years, Indonesian and Australian thermal coal exports have on average risen by 17% and 5% respectively in Q4.
With relatively inelastic supply in the dry bulk freight market, these seasonal demand fluctuations can lead to heightened price volatility, and in past years freight rates have often risen in Q4. Indeed, recent prices rises in Capesize and Panamax rates are indicative of such seasonality. That said, uncertainty remains over whether we will see typical seasonal impacts sustained over the coming months. Reasons for such uncertainty and potentially unseasonal trends may include: (i) tight credit availability and ample iron ore port inventory in China, which may limit the degree of seasonal restocking; (ii) Chinese coal imports are declining, and government regulations appear supportive of this trend; and (iii) meteorologists are suggesting a high probability of an El Nino event this year, which may mean drier than usual weather in Australia and Indonesia, and potentially therefore lower than normal weather-related supply disruptions, concluded SGX.
According to SGX, it is managing both commodity & freight on one platform; capital efficiencies through margin optimisation
SGX uniquely provides effective risk management tools to manage both the underlying bulk commodity and freight rate exposures together on the same platform. Furthermore, with all products on one platform SGX is able to offer highly competitive intra-commodity margin offsets. With a range of margin credits across different freight products as well as intra-commodity margin offsets between freight and iron ore, SGX provides a unique value proposition for the clearing of freight and bulk commodity derivatives.
For more details about SGX please click here to visit its official website.
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Thursday, 12 June 14
CONSOLIDATION IS THE ' NAME OF THE GAME' WHEN IT COMES TO SHIPYARDS ACROSS ASIA - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Intense competition, a swelling of new greenfield shipyards over the past few years mainly in China, especially prior to the 2008 global financial ...
Wednesday, 11 June 14
INDONESIA'S COAL EXPORT VOLUME AND REVENUE SLIPS 2.75% AND 6.73% RESPECTIVELY IN APRIL
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producer and the global largest multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.8* b ...
Wednesday, 11 June 14
BPI TOUCHING A NEW LOW FOR THE YEAR
The Dry Bulk market closed off the week positively, on the back of firming Capesize rates, while the market overall continues to face a very challe ...
Monday, 09 June 14
GOVT GETS TOUGH ON ILLEGAL MINING, SUSPENDS LICENSES - THE JAKARTA POST
The government has temporarily suspended the licenses of 62 mineral and coal transportation companies as part of its efforts to curb illegal mining ...
Monday, 09 June 14
INDO SUB-BIT COAL SWAPS FOR Q3,Q4 OF 2014 AND Q1 2015: LOST ON DAY AND MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 continue last week’s trend or lost on day, week and on month according to Asia ...
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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