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Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX in its latest note.
SGX, Singapore Exchange represents the premier access point for managing Asian capital and investment exposure, and is Asia’s most international exchange with more than 40% of companies listed on SGX originating outside of Singapore.
SGX further said, the 30-day annualised volatility of the Baltic Dry Index has surpassed 50%, versus a Q3 average of 37%. This spike in volatility has been primarily driven by Capesize rates, with the Baltic Capesize Index 30-day annualised volatility averaging a staggering 138% so far this month.
According to SGX, year-to-date, the benchmark iron ore price has fallen 48% while thermal coal prices have also steadily declined through the course of the year. Freight rates meanwhile have been extremely volatile, but on average holding well at higher levels. As a result, freight rates have become a much more significant component of delivered iron ore and coal prices.
"In January 2014 for example, the C5 route (Western Australia to China) averaged less than 7% of the benchmark delivered iron ore price into China. At present, the same route makes up more than 13% of the delivered iron ore price. Falling bulk commodity prices have led freight to become a relatively more important consideration along the commodity value chain, and with volatility spiking, effective freight risk management tools have become all the more important," said SGX.
The dry bulk freight market is often subject to severe seasonality, with typically stronger demand through Q4. Iron ore, coal and steel account for about 60% of total dry bulk tonne-miles, according to Clarksons. Seasonality within the seaborne iron ore and thermal coal markets therefore has a significant impact on the dry bulk freight market, as noted by SGX.
SGX further said, Iron ore usually sees strong seaborne trade volumes during Q4 as producers look to maximise exports ahead of seasonal weather-related supply disruptions that often occur in Q1, while the Chinese steel industry typically restocks steelmaking raw materials ahead of the cold winter months/Chinese New Year. Over the past three years, Brazilian and Australian iron ore shipments have on average risen in Q4 (versus Q3) by 9% and 6%, respectively. Thermal coal also usually experiences higher seaborne volumes towards year-end in anticipation of winter as power supply companies look to build inventory. In the past three years, Indonesian and Australian thermal coal exports have on average risen by 17% and 5% respectively in Q4.
With relatively inelastic supply in the dry bulk freight market, these seasonal demand fluctuations can lead to heightened price volatility, and in past years freight rates have often risen in Q4. Indeed, recent prices rises in Capesize and Panamax rates are indicative of such seasonality. That said, uncertainty remains over whether we will see typical seasonal impacts sustained over the coming months. Reasons for such uncertainty and potentially unseasonal trends may include: (i) tight credit availability and ample iron ore port inventory in China, which may limit the degree of seasonal restocking; (ii) Chinese coal imports are declining, and government regulations appear supportive of this trend; and (iii) meteorologists are suggesting a high probability of an El Nino event this year, which may mean drier than usual weather in Australia and Indonesia, and potentially therefore lower than normal weather-related supply disruptions, concluded SGX.
According to SGX, it is managing both commodity & freight on one platform; capital efficiencies through margin optimisation
SGX uniquely provides effective risk management tools to manage both the underlying bulk commodity and freight rate exposures together on the same platform. Furthermore, with all products on one platform SGX is able to offer highly competitive intra-commodity margin offsets. With a range of margin credits across different freight products as well as intra-commodity margin offsets between freight and iron ore, SGX provides a unique value proposition for the clearing of freight and bulk commodity derivatives.
For more details about SGX please click here to visit its official website.
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Sunday, 14 September 14
FREIGHT RATES RALLY AS DEMAND INCREASED
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a number (in US$) issued daily by the London-based Baltic Exchange up 2.25 percent week on week. BDI cl ...
Friday, 12 September 14
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED 673.3 MMST, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.20 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 11 September 14
THE PANAMAX MARKET IS TAKING A BREATHER - FEARNLEYS
Handy
We have experienced more activity in both hemispheres this week, said Fearnleys in this week's weekly report.
"We see rates c ...
Wednesday, 10 September 14
ARE GREEK BANKS ON THE VERGE TO START LENDING AGAIN? - JOHN N. COTZIAS
It is well known that Greek Banks had suffered severely after the economic crisis of 2008. From that period onwards, major changes have occur ...
Tuesday, 09 September 14
WEAK M&A DESPITE ABUNDANT DISTRESSED INDONESIA COAL ASSETS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that a meaningful level of merger and acquisition (M&A) activity leading to a consolidation of the coal sector ...
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
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