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Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX in its latest note.
SGX, Singapore Exchange represents the premier access point for managing Asian capital and investment exposure, and is Asia’s most international exchange with more than 40% of companies listed on SGX originating outside of Singapore.
SGX further said, the 30-day annualised volatility of the Baltic Dry Index has surpassed 50%, versus a Q3 average of 37%. This spike in volatility has been primarily driven by Capesize rates, with the Baltic Capesize Index 30-day annualised volatility averaging a staggering 138% so far this month.
According to SGX, year-to-date, the benchmark iron ore price has fallen 48% while thermal coal prices have also steadily declined through the course of the year. Freight rates meanwhile have been extremely volatile, but on average holding well at higher levels. As a result, freight rates have become a much more significant component of delivered iron ore and coal prices.
"In January 2014 for example, the C5 route (Western Australia to China) averaged less than 7% of the benchmark delivered iron ore price into China. At present, the same route makes up more than 13% of the delivered iron ore price. Falling bulk commodity prices have led freight to become a relatively more important consideration along the commodity value chain, and with volatility spiking, effective freight risk management tools have become all the more important," said SGX.
The dry bulk freight market is often subject to severe seasonality, with typically stronger demand through Q4. Iron ore, coal and steel account for about 60% of total dry bulk tonne-miles, according to Clarksons. Seasonality within the seaborne iron ore and thermal coal markets therefore has a significant impact on the dry bulk freight market, as noted by SGX.
SGX further said, Iron ore usually sees strong seaborne trade volumes during Q4 as producers look to maximise exports ahead of seasonal weather-related supply disruptions that often occur in Q1, while the Chinese steel industry typically restocks steelmaking raw materials ahead of the cold winter months/Chinese New Year. Over the past three years, Brazilian and Australian iron ore shipments have on average risen in Q4 (versus Q3) by 9% and 6%, respectively. Thermal coal also usually experiences higher seaborne volumes towards year-end in anticipation of winter as power supply companies look to build inventory. In the past three years, Indonesian and Australian thermal coal exports have on average risen by 17% and 5% respectively in Q4.
With relatively inelastic supply in the dry bulk freight market, these seasonal demand fluctuations can lead to heightened price volatility, and in past years freight rates have often risen in Q4. Indeed, recent prices rises in Capesize and Panamax rates are indicative of such seasonality. That said, uncertainty remains over whether we will see typical seasonal impacts sustained over the coming months. Reasons for such uncertainty and potentially unseasonal trends may include: (i) tight credit availability and ample iron ore port inventory in China, which may limit the degree of seasonal restocking; (ii) Chinese coal imports are declining, and government regulations appear supportive of this trend; and (iii) meteorologists are suggesting a high probability of an El Nino event this year, which may mean drier than usual weather in Australia and Indonesia, and potentially therefore lower than normal weather-related supply disruptions, concluded SGX.
According to SGX, it is managing both commodity & freight on one platform; capital efficiencies through margin optimisation
SGX uniquely provides effective risk management tools to manage both the underlying bulk commodity and freight rate exposures together on the same platform. Furthermore, with all products on one platform SGX is able to offer highly competitive intra-commodity margin offsets. With a range of margin credits across different freight products as well as intra-commodity margin offsets between freight and iron ore, SGX provides a unique value proposition for the clearing of freight and bulk commodity derivatives.
For more details about SGX please click here to visit its official website.
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Monday, 06 October 14
' COAL-BY-WIRE' FROM SUMATRA TO JAVA - THE JAKARTA POST
Coal from the island of Sumatra accounts for most of Indonesia’s low-grade lignite, a low-quality coal that receives a poor price in internat ...
Monday, 06 October 14
THE IRON ORE SHIPPING BUSINESS IS FACING SOME ROUGH SEAS - EAST ASIA FORUM
The impact of Chinese demand on global iron ore prices is well known. A less acknowledged consequence of China’s emergence is the transformat ...
Sunday, 05 October 14
BALTIC DRY INDEX SLIPS 1.14%; BALTIC PANAMAX INDEX GAINED 9.91% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was down by 1.14 pct and closed at 1037 points this Friday.
The Cape index was down significantly week on week or lost 5 ...
Friday, 03 October 14
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.8% TO 19.9 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of co ...
Thursday, 02 October 14
CAPESIZE - DULL AND WITHOUT MUCH DIRECTION AS IRON ORE AND COAL VOLUMES FAIL TO LIVE UP EXPECTATIONS
Handy
After the recent weeks´ rate increase in the Atlantic we see Panamaxes snapping up handymax and Supra cargoes at much lower levels, p ...
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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