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Thursday, 20 November 14
MOST MAJOR ASIAN ECONOMIES TO BENEFIT FROM LOWER OIL - FITCH
COALspot.com: The 25% drop in the price of oil since July is likely to lift economic growth prospects, improve terms of trade, and have a potentially positive credit impact for a number of Asia-Pacific sovereigns if the lower prices are sustained below USD90/bbl through 2015, in line with our latest forecast, says Fitch Ratings.
Most major Asian economies - including China, Japan, Korea and Thailand - would see an effective overall income boost from sustained lower oil prices. In addition, countries with large oil import needs facing external adjustment pressures such as Indonesia and India are among the best positioned to see a positive impact on sovereign credit profiles, although the broader policy response will matter too.
All but one of the Fitch-rated APAC sovereigns are net oil importers. Net oil import bills range significantly, from greater than 10% of GDP for Thailand to less than 2% for Bangladesh and Vietnam. Korea, Japan and China have net import bills of 6%, 3% and just over 2% of GDP, respectively.
For consumers, there would be a positive consumption effect from falling retail energy prices. Disinflation as a result of lower oil prices could also contribute to GDP growth less directly in some countries, by facilitating a more accommodative monetary policy than would otherwise be followed. Notably, several key Asian economies, including Japan, have been increasingly relying on liquefied natural gas (LNG) as part of their energy mix, and Asian LNG prices are linked to Brent crude.
A combined positive impact on fiscal accounts, economic growth and terms of trade, would be particularly beneficial for the sovereign credits of countries which are both net oil importers and facing external adjustment pressures, including Indonesia and India. Lower oil prices will help to ease the trade-offs faced by these economies as they aim to bolster growth while reducing external account deficits.
Beyond the macroeconomic growth effects, the fiscal impact could also be significant for several south and south-east Asian sovereigns. Both the Indian and Indonesian governments have already taken advantage of the price decline. In India, diesel prices were deregulated on 18 October. The direct impact on our headline fiscal forecasts is expected to be limited, while this will make the fiscal accounts more robust against future oil shocks, since both diesel and petrol prices are now determined by the market.
In Indonesia, the new administration under President Joko Widodo raised the administered price of fuel by over 30% on 18 November. Roughly 15% of total government spending (2.4% of GDP) is allocated to fuel subsidies, according to the state budget. In addition to direct effects on the state budget, the price hike provides a clear, positive signal of the new government's intentions to swiftly implement its reform agenda.
However, the extent to which sovereigns are able to realise the potential fiscal benefits will be determined at least partly by how policy makers respond - whether they use budget windfalls to increase spending or reduce deficits.
Fitch has lowered its forecast for the price of Brent Crude to average USD87/bbl through 2015 and USD90/bbl for 2016 as part of our latest forecasting round, down from our September forecasts of USD100/bbl and USD95/bbl, respectively.
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Friday, 31 October 14
BUKIT ASAM'S NET PROFIT ROSE 27.42% FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY - SEPTEMBER 2014
COALspot.com: Publicly listed coal miner Bukit Asam reported solid profits in the first nine months of 2014 year.
Coal miner Bukit Asam manage ...
Friday, 31 October 14
U.S PRODUCED AROUND 19.3 MMST OF COAL IN A WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 30 October 14
COAL & GRAINS SUPPORT PANAMAX AND IRON ORE SUPPORTS CAPES
Handy
The Atlantic market has been flat this week. Rates are up about US$ 200 from last week on the TA´s, but the volumes are about the sam ...
Thursday, 30 October 14
DOES A LOU ARBITRATION AGREEMENT FOR THE UNDERLYING CARGO CLAIM COMPLETELY REPLACE THE BILL OF LADING ARBITRATION CLAUSE? - INCE &CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
In the context of cargo claims brought under four bills of lading, the Commercial Court has recently considered whether a ...
Wednesday, 29 October 14
GOOD REASON WHY Q4 CAPESIZE OUTLOOK WAS SO BULLISH AT START OF THE YEAR - COMMODORE RESEARCH
COALspot.com: There was good reason why so many analysts' capesize outlook for Q4 was so very strong at the start of this year. Brazilian ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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