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Thursday, 20 November 14
HANDY: INDO ROUNDS ARE BEING FIXED IN REGION OF US$ 10K - FEARNLEYS

Handy
In the Atlantic we have experienced firmer rates this week much lead by the grain activity out of USG. Vsls open in the USG can achieve in excess of US$ 14k for a trip to Cont/Med. According to Fearnresearch, the TAs are now hovering around US$ 10k. Also in the Feast we see a firmer market in which specifically being helped by the increased activity out of Indonesia. The broker Fearnleys further said, Indo rounds are being fixed in region of US$ 10k whereas vessels open Spore can achieve US$ 10-11k for trips direction India. The period market is regaining activity and several short period fixtures has been concluded in region of US$ 10k bss SE Asia delivery and US$ 9k for PG delivery.

Panamax
Commented on Panamax, fearnleys said, after the strong momentum disappeared a couple of weeks ago the market has been slower and sliding down lately. However the market seem to have found some support around today’s levels and the ship/cargo ratio is rather balanced in both hemispheres. The grains keeps on coming out of the USG and this ensures that the fronthaul market stays at a steady level around US$ 15K+500K. For normal trans-Atlantic rounds owners can get around US$ 8,500-9,500 per day while the Pacific market seems to have found some support around US$ 9,000 per day. The Pacific is affected by India´s very busy coal import program. The broker fearnleys sees several ships being fixed for this business every day and this has led to a quite substantial congestion in Indian ports. “ We can count at least 100 panamaxes being tied up there and we expect this number to increase”, said fearnleys. The period market has come down a tick as well, we now see short periods being fixed around US$ 9,000.

Capesize
A bumpy ride and mixed signals. Atlantic, although at modest volumes, presently leading the way with inter-atlantic rounds done at as much as US$ 30k+. Fronthaul levels see substantial daily volatility as supply/demand balancing on a knife´s edge, however the China-Brazil-China route comes in virtually unchanged at US$ 20-20,500 w-o-w for 180,000-tonners. According to fearnleys, market sceptism is again clearly reflected in moderate paper values for 2015, not supporting period activity at fixed levels unless some 30% discount is given to present average spot levels of almost US$ 23k. To the extent period business is concluded, same is linked to index - last exemplified by 179,000- tonner built 2009 reportedly done for 2 years at BCI180AVE4TC+abt 9%.



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