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Tuesday, 18 November 14
CHEAP OIL PRICES COULD RESHAPE GLOBAL OIL EXPORTING MAP - HELLENIC SHIPPING
Tanker owners have enjoyed a rather healthy 2014, but as the year draws to a close, the fall of oil prices is bound to reshape traditional, as well as newly established oil tanker routes, which came as a result of the booming US oil production. In its latest monthly outlook, shipbroker Intermodal, noted that the continuously softening price of oil has been monopolizing head-lines for a while now, a very short period of less than five months, the price of the commodity has been slashed. The benchmark price of Brent has moved from $110 per barrel in the beggining of July $80 per barrel a couple of days ago, a sharp decline of more than 27% and a level last visited in September 2010.
In its analysis, Eva Tzima, Intermodal’s Research Analyst said that “the price of the loyal servant of energy which has been steadily climbing post the end of the Lehman market shock, has been a key driver of developments across the globe. Amidst a high priced oil environment other energy sources have started to steadily gain popularity and eventually a bigger share in the energy market. So what has pushed the price of oil down and most importantly how sustainable this new environment might be? The US shale oil revolution has come at a time when global growth prospects are ailing and the role of central banks remains vital in safeguarding the journey to economic recovery.As shale oil production started to account for a big share in the US market through, the US has significantly reduced its imports from OPEC countries exerting significant pressure especially on South American and West African oil exports. As expected, the increasing US output that reached its highest level in almost 30 years, has added to the global oil supply glut that was already being built up by the growth slowdown of economies in the likes of China and Europe and their consequent lesser demand for oil”, she said.
According to Tzima, “as excess supply started putting pressure on the price of oil lately, most were expecting OPEC producers to start curbing their supply in an effort to support prices. Instead, in the beggining of last month, Saudi Aramco, Saudi Arabia’s state-run producer and the world;s dominant exporter, didn’t meddle with its exports volume at all but moved ahead with cutting prices for all exports. Such decision is logically identified by most analysts as an effort by the Saudis to defend their global market share no matter what the cost is at this stage and it seems that so far this working. Asian oil demand has already increased, with Far East importing countries being lured back to higher import levels, helping crude carriers benefit not only from lower bunker prices but also from increase Eastbound demand. Most notably, and despite the fact that oil demand in China has been weakening throughout the year, the country’s import have started picking up significantly since mid-summer, roughly around the same time that oil prices started to slide. China started taking advantage of the current low price environment by quickly accelerating its imports in the 3-month period of July-September with the purpose to reinforce its strategic reserves”.
Intermodal’s analysts added that “at the same time, talks of US oil export ban being lifted seems to be warming up again. The incoming head of the Senate Energy Committee, Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski, who has been a big supporter of relaxing the ban, will be able to continue doing so in a more favorable environment following the recent win of Republicans in the control of the Senate. Although nobody believes that the 40-year ban could be easily relaxed, Senator Murkowski’s rising to this position comes at a timing that could only add pressure on overall sentiment for oil prices globally. With OPEC talking no stance to support oil prices and the US shale oil production resuming at current levels, it seems that we are heading for lower price of oil in the short term, but whether this can become the new normal, I would think ”Not so fast..”The reality is that US shale oil producers need oil prices to remain at levels that won’t squeeze their own margins in order for their production to remain competitive, while at the same time, economies like that of Russia will be hardly hit of oil prices keep sliding for a prolonged period. The same holds for other OPEC members that will eventually put pressure on the Saudis to act in order to stabilize prices. So let’s just enjoy cheap oil for now, because this might not be a case of ”last man standing” between oil producers after all, but only case of just shuffling the deck”, Tzima concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide
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Wednesday, 19 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - BY KATERINA RESTIS
The current Ebola outbreak in West Africa has been declared as a worldwide health emergency by the World Health Organization and has had a great im ...
Tuesday, 18 November 14
VALEMAX DEAL TO DETERMINE DRY BULK MARKET'S FATE - DREWRY MARITIME RESEARCH
Vale’s accord to sell and lease four Valemax vessels to COSCO might have negative repercussions on dry bulk freight rates. Vale has committed ...
Tuesday, 18 November 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP DELIVERY Q2' 2015 CLOSED AT $ 49.55; DOWN 4.10% M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, gained week on week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US ...
Tuesday, 18 November 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 66.31; UP 1.33% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has gained US$ 0.27 (+0.41%) month over month and US$ 0.87 (+1.33%) week ...
Monday, 17 November 14
SKULD ISSUES URGENT NOTICE ON BANKRUPTCY OF OW BUNKER A/S
Further to the Association’s advices of 7 November 2014, more information has come to light with respect to the potential impact and scale of ...
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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