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Thursday, 13 November 14
SLOWER AND LOWER HAS BEEN THE TREND OF THE PANAMAX IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNLEYS

Handy
We are experiencing an oversupply of tonnage in the Atlantic which is out numbering the amount of cargoes, Fearnleys broker says in its latest report.

According to broker, Handy TA´s are down almost US$ 500 w-o-w and the slowdown in USG cargoes is not helping the average Atlantic rates. A transatlantic round is now being fixed in region of US$ 8,700 while the USG Fhauls are seeing around US$ 16k.

The broker noted, the Feast market seems to have bottomed out for now. SE Asia rounds paying around 7,500 8K. NOPAC, vessel open N. China can get around 9K + 300BB. For trips back to Spore / Japan range. Supras open Singapore got fixed at around mid 10K from trips via Indo To India. For Philippine Nickel Ore rounds to China vessels got fixed at around 6K. The period market is slow, but Ultras can achieve around mid 11K for short period where smaller units fixing at around 10K.

Panamax
Fearnleys noted that, slower and lower has been the trend for Panamax in both hemispheres since end of last week. The sliding tendency is perhaps more obvious within the Atlantic where activity is low and the list of tonnage is growing.

The broker Fearnleys commented that, the typical T/A rounds falling from around 9.000. Front haul is about 15 + 500 bss APS USG or just above 43 pmt to China. North Atlantic front haul giving Owners a nice premium. In the Far East Nopac rounds pay about 11.000-12.000 for good units, Aussie or Indo rounds a bit less. Trips to India paying a premium although with the same falling tendency both for levels and for activity. Owners have secured short period in the 10.000 to 11.000 range for efficient spec´s in good positions. Otherwise sentiment is a bit softer from the weakening forward curve.

Capesize
According Fearnleys, since last week the Capesize market began to lose its strength and the market is presently correcting, despite quite heavy trading volumes in both basins. As the Brazil/China market has come down from a high of US$ 25.00´s to today’s US$ 22.00 level the Pacific correction has been less severe.

There the West Australia market has returned to a US$ 9.00 level, after never seriously threatening the US$ 10.00 marker. The forward paper has been wobbly at best and seems to lack any confidence, with the curve dropping sharply once we get into January 2015. The question going forward is if the transatlantic market can sustain another drive before the end of the year. There have been a number of vessels which have fixed out to the east thus reducing the available tonnage to perform transatlantic cargos, and this can put pressure on the rates.

Fearnleys further noted that, the period has been quiet and closely following the paper curve but with few owners willing to fix at those levels. Last one fixed was at the end of last week.



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