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Thursday, 13 November 14
DRY BULK MARKET'S REBOUND HINGES ON IRON ORE OVERSUPPLY ISSUES MOVING FORWARD - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
“One man’s benefit, is another man’s demise” is a phrase which can be used to describe today’s situation in the dry bulk market. The oversupply of iron ore has led to prices crashing and smaller producers’ position becoming more precarious by the day. On the other hand, for the maritime industry, this exact issue of oversupply is fuelling a rebound in dry bulk freight rates.
So, the issue moving forward will be, how long will the ongoing battle between the low-cost iron ore producers and the big three, i.e. Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton will last? According to the marketing manager of Towage & Port Agency with Cotzias Intermodal Shipping, Mr. Christopher T. Whitty, “we are moving into a new era in the iron ore sector and major analysts are already cutting down substantially their forecasts for the price of the commodity during 2015. The commodity traded at $75.38 on November the 6th, marking the lowest level since September 2009 and top researchers are talking about 2015 prices averaging around 80$ per ton. According to Rio de Janeiro-based Vale SA, the largest producer, “The oversupply won’t last forever as some smaller producers that started output when prices were much higher won’t be able to survive the slump”. Even now that the commodity’s price is at record low levels, the majors are still looking at the big picture and they both continue to ramp up production in both Brazil and Australia”, Whitty noted.
In the latest weekly report, Mr. Whitty stated that “from a maritime perspective, the oversupply of global iron ore is one of the main factors that could drive the demand for seaborne trade. The iron ore market fundamentals are changing to the extent where we all hope that the global surplus of the commodity will continue to fuel the rates for Capesize vessels over a prolonged period. The question is, how long it will take until the smaller producers will have to cease operations due to the lower industry price floor”.
It’s worth noting that “during last week, the iron majors in both Brazil and Australia were considered as relatively quiet and, as a result, freight rates declined week on week on the Tubarao to Qingdao route to $9.35 per tonne and on the Western Australia to China route to $24 per tonne. Nevertheless the freight market for capesize bulk carriers is still at sustainable levels and the top iron ore producers are intending to bring even more new supply to the market over the next three years. The increase in global supply is also affecting the Chinese domestic output and if the majors want to force a high percentage of these producers to shut down, they will have to ensure that prices will remain low for an extended period or at least for the next couple of months. Even though Chinese iron ore imports decreased more than 6 percent compared to September, the overall sentiment is that they still remain on track for their biggest growth in the last five years, which is somewhat encouraging for now”, Whitty noted.
He concluded his analysis by noting that “this means that at least in the short term the surplus of iron ore in the market will most likely be absorbed mainly by China, while expectations for 2015 are that the global surplus will be approximately 110 million tons. Comparing that to the 2014 surplus of around 60 million tons, yields a clear picture of the oversupply that is flooding the industry and places even more weight on the significance of the Chinese economy”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 04 November 14
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS GAINED WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery decreased US$ 1.09 (-1.99%) month over month and increased US$ 0.31 (+0.58% ...
Monday, 03 November 14
ADARO PRODUCED 41.90MT OF COAL FOR FIRST 9 MONTHS OF 2014
COALspot.com: Adaro’s coal production in the third quarter reached 14.03 Mt, a 2% increase compared to the same period of last year. Accordin ...
Monday, 03 November 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q4' 2014 DELIVERY LOST 2.80% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4’ 2014 delivery has decreased US$ 1.86 (-2.80%) month over month and increased US$ 0.37 ( ...
Monday, 03 November 14
INDONESIAN'S COAL EXPORTS JUMP IN SEPTEMBER
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producers and the global leading multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.50 ...
Sunday, 02 November 14
CAPE INDEX WAS UP 46.65% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI and Cape index continued the strong upward trend this week. The BDI was up 19.80 pct and Cape index was up by 46.65 per ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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