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Thursday, 09 October 14
CAPESIZE MARKET HAS CONTINUED TO SHOW WEAKNESS - FEARNLEYS

Handy
We mentioned last week that after several weeks of rate increase for the Supras, the bigger Panamaxes started to snap up better paying Supra cgos. This together with a slowdown in activity in the USG and ECSA has caused rates to slip this week, said Fearnleys in its latest weekly report.

The broker further commented that, TA´s are now paying around USD 9.5k compared to the low 11k´s achieved last week. In the Pacific we see the same tendency with rates slipping across the board. Rates for Pac rounds are now in the region of USD 9k. The period market is losing ground and takers are withdrawing from the longer period deals. There are still shorter periods being done, but the levels are well below last done in the different segments, Fearnleys concluded on smaller vessels.

Panamax
On Panamax Fearnleys said, it seems last week´s push in rates was much caused by charterers wanting to cover themselves before the holidays in the Feast. There are very few grain stems for Oct dates left in the USG and the big grain houses are now quoting Nov and Dec dates. This combined with plenty of ballasters entering the Atlantic this and next week are pushing the USG/China rates down. The broker further said, the Fhaul cargoes quoted for Continent delivery are fixed within a couple of hours after entering the market and owners are fixing less than last done in order to secure employment. TA´s are now being fixed in region of USD 5/6k depending on delivery. The Fhauls are being fixed in region of USD 14.5k and even lower on voyage bss.

According to Fearnleys, in the Eastern hemispheres we see rates also coming off even with India importing record amounts of coal for their electricity plants with about a 19% increase y-o-y. Pac rounds are now paying around 7k compared to the 8k last week. Period activity is limited and FFA´s are coming further down.

Capesize
According to broker, the Capesize market has continued to show weakness. West Australia has slipped by about 25 cents to about the USD 7.75 level despite healthy fixing volumes. Worse is the all important Brazil to China fronthaul leg, where rates are now below USD 18.00 and the fixing activity is limited to the operators rather than the miners. Unless we see a significant increase in activity on this long duration business, it is difficult to be optimistic about a Q4 rebound. On the period front major operators relet tonnage for short period (though Q4) at a disappointing USD 15k daily level. This lack of confidence in the near term market is concerning, broker concluded on Capes.



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