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Thursday, 09 October 14
SHIPPING REMAINS CHALLENGED AS GLOBAL GROWTH DISAPPOINTS - BIMCO
The global shipping industry finds no grace from much stronger economic activity going forward, as the global recovery remains fragile and uneven. Shipping being a derived demand of global economic growth, will see lower demand in coming years, all other things being equal, than what was previously expected. This goes for all the major shipping segments, dry bulk, tankers and containerships.
The Update of the World Economic Outlook from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has just been released. Headline global GDP growth is revised downwards by 0.1 and 0.2 for 2014 and 2015 respectively to reach 3.3% and 3.8%
The IMF points out that global investment has been weaker for some time now, limiting the prospects for higher growth going forward. This has led to a lowering of 2015 expected growth more or less across the board. Moreover the burden from the recent years of crisis still haunts, primarily the advanced economies. Whereas several emerging and developing economies which are running at a higher growth level, are been dragged down by poor export markets.
1. The US is expected to grow by 3.1% up by 0.5 from IMFs most recent July estimate. Employment numbers are strong, so now we higher wages are anticipated to follow suit soon in order to develop a sustainable economy for the future
2. In the Euro Area, German, France and Italy are all revised downwards by 0.4-0.5. This leaves Italy in negative territory for the third year running, at -0.2% for 2014. France is now expected to grow by 0.5% and Germany by 1.4% in 2014.
3. Forecast for India is up by 0.2% to 5.6% with China hanging in there at an unchanged 7.4% for 2014.
4. Finally, Russia is expected to take more hardship from its involvement in geopolitical uncertainties with Ukraine. IMF halved its forecast for 2015 growth in Russia now seen at 0.5% with 2014 still staying above water at 0.2%.
Chief Shipping Analyst at BIMCO, Peter Sand, said:
“The revised forecast from IMF was somewhat anticipated but the wide spread negatives seems to outweigh the positives this time around.
“Shipping being a derived demand of global economic growth, will see lower demand in coming years, all other things being equal, than what was previously expected.
“For container shipping it is positive that the US is now set to grow stronger even though demand from Euro Area weight in the other direction the sum of the parts are still positive.
Source: BIMCO / Hellencshipping
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Monday, 03 February 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CONTRACTS FALL
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1 14 delivery lost 4.71 percent month on month and closed at US$ 78.87 per mt as on Frid ...
Monday, 03 February 14
COAL FREIGHT RATES REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The BDI is fell 50 pct over last one month which seems to be one of the lowest fall in last few years.
The BDI was down by 11 ...
Friday, 31 January 14
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED APPROXIMATELY 19.2 MMST W-O-W
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.2 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 31 January 14
DRY BULK MARKET STILL ON A FALL, EXPECTED TO WORSEN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is definitely in the doldrums since the start of the year, in what could only be described as a "lost" month for indus ...
Thursday, 30 January 14
JPU SETTLEMENT PRICE AS A BENCHMARK WILL DECLINE IN IMPORTANCE BUT REMAIN RELEVANT, SAYS WOOD MACKENZIE
JPU price will remain above spot, trending closer to spot till 2015 then increasing to 2035.
Japanese Power Utilities (JPU) are approaching a cru ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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