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Thursday, 09 October 14
SHIPPING REMAINS CHALLENGED AS GLOBAL GROWTH DISAPPOINTS - BIMCO
 The global shipping industry finds no grace from much stronger economic activity going forward, as the global recovery remains fragile and uneven. Shipping being a derived demand of global economic growth, will see lower demand in coming years, all other things being equal, than what was previously expected. This goes for all the major shipping segments, dry bulk, tankers and containerships.
The Update of the World Economic Outlook from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has just been released. Headline global GDP growth is revised downwards by 0.1 and 0.2 for 2014 and 2015 respectively to reach 3.3% and 3.8%
The IMF points out that global investment has been weaker for some time now, limiting the prospects for higher growth going forward. This has led to a lowering of 2015 expected growth more or less across the board. Moreover the burden from the recent years of crisis still haunts, primarily the advanced economies. Whereas several emerging and developing economies which are running at a higher growth level, are been dragged down by poor export markets.
1. The US is expected to grow by 3.1% up by 0.5 from IMFs most recent July estimate. Employment numbers are strong, so now we higher wages are anticipated to follow suit soon in order to develop a sustainable economy for the future
2. In the Euro Area, German, France and Italy are all revised downwards by 0.4-0.5. This leaves Italy in negative territory for the third year running, at -0.2% for 2014. France is now expected to grow by 0.5% and Germany by 1.4% in 2014.
3. Forecast for India is up by 0.2% to 5.6% with China hanging in there at an unchanged 7.4% for 2014.
4. Finally, Russia is expected to take more hardship from its involvement in geopolitical uncertainties with Ukraine. IMF halved its forecast for 2015 growth in Russia now seen at 0.5% with 2014 still staying above water at 0.2%.
Chief Shipping Analyst at BIMCO, Peter Sand, said:
“The revised forecast from IMF was somewhat anticipated but the wide spread negatives seems to outweigh the positives this time around.
“Shipping being a derived demand of global economic growth, will see lower demand in coming years, all other things being equal, than what was previously expected.
“For container shipping it is positive that the US is now set to grow stronger even though demand from Euro Area weight in the other direction the sum of the parts are still positive.
Source: BIMCO / Hellencshipping
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Tuesday, 20 May 14
NEWCASTLE'S COAL EXPORT VOLUME UP 39.11 PERCENT WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 19 May 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, ...
Tuesday, 20 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO IMPROVE OVER THE COURSE OF 2014, BUT OVERSUPPLY STILL AN ISSUE SAYS BIMCO'S CHIEF SHIPPING ANALYST
As a gruelling first quarter edges closer to the end, dry bulk ship owners are looking at an improved second quarter demand, which, coupled with sl ...
Tuesday, 20 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET IS BOUND FOR A RECOVERY CLAIMS PARAGON SHIPPING'S HEAD MICHAEL BODOUROGLOU
The dry bulk market is bound for a recovery in the coming weeks, as the market will be better balanced, said Mr. Michael Bodouroglou, Chairman and ...
Monday, 19 May 14
INDO COAL SWAPS FOR AVERAGE Q3' 2014 DELIVERY LOST ON WEEK AND ON MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports release ...
Monday, 19 May 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL LOST 2.49% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 2.49 percent month on month and closed at US$ 74.35 per mt as on F ...
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