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Wednesday, 10 September 14
ARE GREEK BANKS ON THE VERGE TO START LENDING AGAIN? - JOHN N. COTZIAS

It is  well known that Greek Banks had suffered severely after the economic crisis of 2008. From that period onwards, major changes have occurred, with rounds of recapitalizations, consolidations, buyouts and mergers and leaving today 4 major Greek systemic banks which are: National Bank of Greece, Piraeus Bank, Alpha Bank and Eurobank. € 8.3billion of Private funds were raised this year between them, allowing them to start expanding their portfolio as the overlooking state control is gradually relaxed, said Intermodal SnP Broker John N. Cotzias in his latest report.

In its latest report, shipbroker Intermodal further said that, the meetings between these banks and the officials of the ECB in Frankfurt last week has launched the final phase of the stress tests. One of the key issues put on the table was that of Greek Shipping loans. The Bank representatives had a direct opportunity to learn and receive clarifications on the details of the procedure and especially on how the findings of the AQR (Asset Quality Review) will blend with the results of the stress tests. Regarding their shipping loans, there were however differences between the Greek Banks’ outlook and that of the ECB, as there are contrasting opinions and predictions as to how the shipping markets will move in the future. Nevertheless the extra scrutiny that the ECB will need to perform in the case of the German Banks, fortunately puts Greek Banks as less of a concern for the time being.

According to Intermodal, it should be noted that the shipping portfolio held by Greek banks exceeds € 8bil, while Greek shipping’s total loans provided by both Greek and foreign banks exceeds € 12bil. According to 2Q2014 results, Piraeus Bank is the leader with a portfolio of nearly € 3bil. National Bank of Greece has € 1.9bil euros while Alpha Bank has € 1.7bil and Eurobank totals € 1bil. Aegean Baltic Bank concludes the list of the top major Greek Shipping banks, holding a portfolio of € 0.3bil.

National Bank of Greece has stated that they are already there to provide new loans and in 2014 a big part of their € 700mil budget has been committed and most of it withdrawn already. It seems that it is the first time post crisis that these major Greek Banks are trying to create new accounts instead of providing financing to a selective existing clientele, and the space provided by traditional foreign banks that have withdrawn their presence from Shipping leaves an opportunistic space for Greek Banks to obtain new clients. However despite any premature optimism, we have to note the Greek banks still face an uncompetitive cost of lending, as the cost of obtaining funding is still a bet that needs to be settled.

Intermodal noted, as portrayed in the BlackRock Exercise results published this year, the Shipping portfolio of Greek Banks shows very low loss rates, and the NPL’s are considered the lowest amongst the spectrum of their overall lending. Based on this fact, Greek Bank Ship-lending can soon find the right time to re-enter as vessel values are at levels that can be considered again attractive and the amount of risk involved in bank lending is not that great if done in a prudent manner. In addition all banks continue to proceed with their own restructuring and reorganization, and we expect that by 2015 bank lending will be back to “business as usual”, and will slowly reach within grasps reach for most Greek Ship-owners.

One thing that we have to stress and this comes merely out of our own personal experience, is that from these major Greek Banks, their highly prized experience and knowledge puts them ahead of the crowd in attracting and accepting the “right type” of shipping investment proposals, the shipbroker concluded.

Compiled by:         
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis

Ms. Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.



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