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Wednesday, 20 August 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO REBOUND IN THE FOURTH QUARTER, OR NOT....- NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The projected rebound of the dry bulk market is still an elusive trend and shipbrokers and analysts are looking to identify the timing of the looming rally. According to the latest monthly report from shipbroker Intermodal, “it has without a doubt been “a cruel, cruel summer” for the dry bulk market so far and with second hand values still standing high com-pared to last year, the anticipation for the freight market to recover, feels a bit more intense than usual. So what could Q4 be holding for dry bulkers? Are we in for a similar end of year surge like the one witnessed last year”, wondered Eva Tzima, Research Analyst with Intermodal.
According to the analyst, “in the case of the Capesize segment, all eyes are currently turned on China and the iron ore trade. In the beginning of the month, stock-piles at the country’s ports stood at record high levels. Although high levels of iron ore inventory usually reflect that strong steel production is anticipated, it doesn’t look like this is the case here. While steel production levels have been kept high throughout the first half of 2014, profits for the steelmaking industry have been sluggish. This most likely means that production remained at high levels through-out the year due to the Chinese government’s efforts to sustain growth with direct investments in the industry and in anticipation of greater future demand, a demand which has yet to be witnessed”.
Tzima added that “the continuously declining price of the commodity, which in June reached its lowest level since September 2012 has also sustained port inventories at high levels, despite the fact that end demand wasn’t keeping up pace. If we look back in the summer of 2013 things were dramatically different, with port inventories standing well below the historical average, at around 70 million tonnes, compared to 113.65 million tonnes a few weeks ago. Since the restocking started in September of 2013, inventory levels have been on an upward trend, currently leaving little space for aggressive imports and even less room for Cape rates to thrive in the same way they did during the last quarter of last year.
Moving on to the smaller size segments, the upcoming grain season is what the market is currently focusing on and it looks like grains might come to the rescue this year as well. Europe has been witnessing excessive rainfall lately and as a result, the harvest, in France, Germany and other traditional grain producers, is being delayed and its quality jeopardized” she noted.
According to Intermodal’s analyst, “this means that the EU will have to intensify its imports and consequently help seaborne trade volumes, with business in the Black Sea being the first beneficiary in line. In fact, Russia is currently exporting wheat at record pace, as despite sanctions short term finance has not been affected and therefore wheat trade is not being obstructed. Ukraine’s exports are also due to keep the Black Sea busy, while both countries are experiencing a near record harvest”.
Meanwhile, “moving on to the other side of the Atlantic, the US has been con-firming that a bumper harvest is expected, while at the same time prices for the US grains have been fairing at very attractive levels. Similarly to the last quarter of 2013, it looks like Brazil will once again play an important role in the performance of the USG business in the following months. The country has temporarily eliminated the Common External Tariff, which is traditionally imposed on imports from non-Mercosul countries. An identical policy was set last sum-mer, just in time before North American wheat cargoes en-route to Brazil started flooding the USG and pushing rates for the geared sizes up. With Brazil being uncertain as to whether Argentina would be able to satisfy this year’s demand either, the country has again distanced itself from its traditional wheat supplier and a similar rec-ord volume of US imports is anticipated this year as well”, she noted.
Tzima concluded that “so it could well be the case that during Q4 we end up witnessing a market of two speeds, with the performance of the Capesize market lugging behind that of the geared sizes, as China appears to have turned its back on Capers for now. We are always in for a good surprise that could come in the form of stronger stimulus by the Chinese government or an upward revision of global growth. Any hypothesis aside though, my sense is that we have hyper inflated our expectations for the last quarter of the year, in the same way we did at the end of 2013 for the entire 2014, while in terms of tonnage performance; bigger might not be better this fall”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 23 November 14
ITALY'S STEAM COAL IMPORTS TO DROP BY 11% IN 2014 - ASSOCARBONI
COALspot.com: Italy’s steam coal imports expected to drop to 16 million tons in 2014 (-11% compared to 2013); coking coal imports to plunge t ...
Saturday, 22 November 14
THE FALL IN BUNKER PRICES REDUCE FUEL COSTS SIGNIFICANTLY - BIMCO, PETER SAND
For a ship that burns 24 tonnes of fuel per day while steaming, fuel costs are reduced by as much as USD 1 million a year if current price level st ...
Saturday, 22 November 14
DRY BULKERS NEWBUILDING DELIVERIES REACHED 11.8 MILLION DWT DURING THIRD QUARTER, NET FLEET GROWTH FOR 2014 TO REACH 5% - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has rebounded since its less than impressive performance since the start of the year, but overall, third quarter figures could ...
Friday, 21 November 14
BUMI ENTERS INTO CONDITIONAL SALE & PURCHASE AGREEMENT TO SELL FBS STAKE
COALspot.com: PT Bumi Resources Tbk, one of the Indonesia's largest coal producers confirms that it has executed a Conditional Sale and Purchas ...
Friday, 21 November 14
U.S LAST WEEK'S COAL PRODUCTION STAYS FLAT W-O-W
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
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