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Thursday, 14 August 14
INDIA'S PLAN TO START AN INFRASTRUCTURE BOOM AND TO INVEST US$ 1 TRILLION BY 2017 WILL SURELY AFFECT THE DRY BULK TRADE - FEARNLEYS

Handy
The Atlantic Supra market has continued its improving sentiment with rates climbing and TA´s are now up about US$ 900 w-o-w, said Fearnleys in its weekly report.

The broker further said, it was rumoured that 17k bss APS delivery was done bss NCSA for a short duration trip which is very strong. The demand for prompt tonnage is there and the list of available ships is decreasing. Also in the eastern hemisphere we see an improving market even though the tonnage list is long. According to Fearnleys, the demand is strong and owners are holding back their fixing in the belief of better rates in the days to come. Nickel ore cargoes are being traded at around US$ 7k for Smaxes bss South China delivery.

Panamax
On Panamax, Fearnleys noted that, after a very unexciting summer with next to no activity we are now seeing improved sentiment in both hemispheres. In the North Atlantic we are seeing demand for prompt tonnage increasing and the list of available ships is not very long. This is putting pressure to the rates and we believe it will continue to do so for the near future.

According to broker, the TA´s are now paying around US$ 6k while the shorter rounds and 2 llegs are being done in region of 7-8k bss Cont delivery. In the Pacific we see rates coming up about US$ 500 from last week, but not with the same support as in the Atlantic as the list of available tonnage is growing. Pac rounds are being done on APS bss and equals to around US$ 3,500 daily.

Fearnleys forecasted that, worth mentioning is India´s plan to start an infrastructure boom just like China and to invest US$ 1 trillion by 2017. This will surely affect the dry bulk trade for the future. The period market is starting to show life again with more takers and rates edging up.

Capesize
Since last week there is a definite sense of optimism in the cape market initiated by a notable rise in the West Australia market, but the returns on the Brazil trade have increased more. According the broker Fearnleys , the paper market reflects this with a Q4 rate increase from US$ 21,700 daily to a US$ 24,500 daily level. At the time of writing there has been a US$ 500 correction downwards and in recent history these spot market improvements have been very short lived and it looks like the rise in the market has taken a short pause.

The broker said in this week's market report that, the volumes from Brazil from September onwards are expected to be healthy, and with these extra ton miles, it is likely that the market will cautiously continue to improve. The most recent period deal was concluded at US$ 19,000 for a year, and based on the forward paper curve a number closer to US$ 21,000 is justifiable.



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