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Monday, 04 August 14
ANNUAL SECOND HALF SURGE IN BRAZILIAN IRON ORE EXPORTS ABOUT TO BEGIN - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com: Great strength in the capesize market has all along been set to occur during the second half of this year, as that is when Brazilian iron ore shipments surge ever year. Data released from Vale last week shows that iron ore shipments during the first half of this year, while up considerably on a year-on-year basis, decreased from the second half of 2013 by 23.7 million tons (-14%). Iron ore shipments during the first half of this year totaled 144.7 million tons, while shipments during the second half of 2013 totaled a record 168.4 million tons.
Such a large decrease in Vale’s iron ore shipments occurs during the first half of every year, as Brazilian iron ore production is very seasonal. Every year sees a surge in Brazilian iron ore production (and shipments) occur during the second half of the year, followed by a large decline during the first half of the following year, and then a large increase again during the second half of that year. For example, the first half of 2013 saw Vale’s iron ore shipments total 137.2 million tons. The second half of 2013 saw Vale’s iron ore shipments increase to 168.4 million tons. The first half of 2014 saw Vale’s iron ore shipments fall to 144.7 million tons. The decline is normal, expected, and puts pressure on capesize rates.
A very large decrease in Vale’s iron ore shipments occurs during the first half of every year, and yet capesize rates still managed to average $14,135/day during the first half of this year. This is a far cry from the first half of 2013, which saw capesize rates average only $6,136/day. At present, some analysts hold a flawed view of the capesize market. In spite of the annual decline in first half of the year Brazilian iron ore shipments, capesize rates still averaged $14,135/day and saw several short-term and medium-term surges in rates. As recently as June, capesize rates peaked three separate times with all three of June’s peak coming just a few hundred dollars shy of exceeding the $15,000 level.
While Brazilian iron ore shipment volume and capesize rates experienced a lull in July, a very large surge in Brazilian iron ore shipments is about to begin. Vale’s performance report released last week showed that its iron ore shipments during the first half of this year totaled 144.7 million tons. Vale also announced that its total shipment volume for this year is expected to reach at least 321 million tons. Vale is extremely likely to meet this target (and very possibly exceed it), which means that Vale's iron ore shipments during the second half of this year will total at least 176.3 million tons. This would mark an increase of 31.6 million tons (22%) from shipments seen during the first half of this year.
Great strength in the capesize market has all along been set to occur during the second half of this year; the fundamentals have not changed and Brazilian iron ore shipment volume is following its normal seasonal trends. At the same time, Vale’s iron ore production expansion program also remains on schedule. Going forward, a very large surge in Brazilian iron ore shipments is about to occur.
- Jeffrey Landsberg -
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Wednesday, 16 July 14
WEEKLY SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Wake me up when September ends - Theodore Ntalakos
Since last September most thought that the worst was behind us. It looks like the market de ...
Tuesday, 15 July 14
INDONESIA'S TOTAL COAL PRODUCTION REACHED ANOTHER HIGH DURING THE FIRST SIX MONTHS; GOVERNMENT EXPECTED TO RAISE ROYALTIES
COALspot.com: Indonesia's total coal production reached 213 million tons during January through June, up by 7.6 percent y-o-y. Coal output in I ...
Monday, 14 July 14
THE END OF THE ERA OF HEAVY FUEL OIL IN MARITIME SHIPPING - ICCT
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Since the 1960s, heavy fuel oil (HFO) has been the king of marine fuels. Viscous, dirty, yet inexpensive and widely avail ...
Monday, 14 July 14
SGX SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FOR Q4' 14 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 54.80
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports re ...
Monday, 14 July 14
SGX CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q3' 14 LOST 17.29% SINCE EARLY JANUARY 2014
COALspot.com: Coal price falling is continues as the impact oversupply and lower demand. API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in Q3 drops U ...
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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