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Monday, 04 August 14
ANNUAL SECOND HALF SURGE IN BRAZILIAN IRON ORE EXPORTS ABOUT TO BEGIN - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com: Great strength in the capesize market has all along been set to occur during the second half of this year, as that is when Brazilian iron ore shipments surge ever year. Data released from Vale last week shows that iron ore shipments during the first half of this year, while up considerably on a year-on-year basis, decreased from the second half of 2013 by 23.7 million tons (-14%). Iron ore shipments during the first half of this year totaled 144.7 million tons, while shipments during the second half of 2013 totaled a record 168.4 million tons.
Such a large decrease in Vale’s iron ore shipments occurs during the first half of every year, as Brazilian iron ore production is very seasonal. Every year sees a surge in Brazilian iron ore production (and shipments) occur during the second half of the year, followed by a large decline during the first half of the following year, and then a large increase again during the second half of that year. For example, the first half of 2013 saw Vale’s iron ore shipments total 137.2 million tons. The second half of 2013 saw Vale’s iron ore shipments increase to 168.4 million tons. The first half of 2014 saw Vale’s iron ore shipments fall to 144.7 million tons. The decline is normal, expected, and puts pressure on capesize rates.
A very large decrease in Vale’s iron ore shipments occurs during the first half of every year, and yet capesize rates still managed to average $14,135/day during the first half of this year. This is a far cry from the first half of 2013, which saw capesize rates average only $6,136/day. At present, some analysts hold a flawed view of the capesize market. In spite of the annual decline in first half of the year Brazilian iron ore shipments, capesize rates still averaged $14,135/day and saw several short-term and medium-term surges in rates. As recently as June, capesize rates peaked three separate times with all three of June’s peak coming just a few hundred dollars shy of exceeding the $15,000 level.
While Brazilian iron ore shipment volume and capesize rates experienced a lull in July, a very large surge in Brazilian iron ore shipments is about to begin. Vale’s performance report released last week showed that its iron ore shipments during the first half of this year totaled 144.7 million tons. Vale also announced that its total shipment volume for this year is expected to reach at least 321 million tons. Vale is extremely likely to meet this target (and very possibly exceed it), which means that Vale's iron ore shipments during the second half of this year will total at least 176.3 million tons. This would mark an increase of 31.6 million tons (22%) from shipments seen during the first half of this year.
Great strength in the capesize market has all along been set to occur during the second half of this year; the fundamentals have not changed and Brazilian iron ore shipment volume is following its normal seasonal trends. At the same time, Vale’s iron ore production expansion program also remains on schedule. Going forward, a very large surge in Brazilian iron ore shipments is about to occur.
- Jeffrey Landsberg -
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Sunday, 07 September 14
FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUED TO BE FIRM IN SPITE OF CAPE'S THIS WEEK'S WEAK PERFORMANCE
COALspot.com: BDI up by 0.7 pct week on week and closed at 1155 points this week. The Baltic Dry Index is a composite of three sub-indexes that mea ...
Sunday, 07 September 14
SHIPMANAGERS SUPERVISION CONTRACT FOR NEWBUILDS - BIMCO
Shipmanagers are frequently called upon by their owner clients to supervise newbuilding projects on their behalf. The scope of the manager’s ...
Saturday, 06 September 14
SLOW COAL EXPORT REGISTRATION RAISES CONCERNS - THE JAKARTA POST
Several coal mining companies have yet to receive the go-ahead from the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry to obtain exporting licenses, leading ...
Saturday, 06 September 14
DRY BULK MARKET'S PROSPECTS ARE IMPROVING, DESPITE WEAK SECOND QUARTER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been rebounding during the past month, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ended the week on a high note, reaching 1,155 points ...
Saturday, 06 September 14
INDONESIA WANTS TO REGULATE COAL DEALS - THE TELEGRAPH INDIA
Indonesia has raised concerns about suspected coal deals struck between overseas buyers and its unregistered domestic miners, the telegraph India r ...
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- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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