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Monday, 04 August 14
Q1' 15 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT US$ 69.37 ON 1 AUGUST 2014; A $ 1.10 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q4' 2014 CLOSING

COALspot.com: Coal swap prices are showing a positive move upward this past week.  API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q4, Q1 and Q2 2015 showing slight improvement day on day and week on week.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in Q4 increased US$ 0.17 day on day and US$ 0.85 week on week. However the month on month the swap fell US$ 1.86 on Friday and closed at US$ 68.27 a ton. The CFR South China Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2015 also gained on day and on week according to SGX AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports released week ended 1 August  2014.

Q1 2015 delivery swap closed at US$ 69.37 a ton on 1 August 2014, a US$ 2.03 lower from a month and US$ 0.70 higher from a week ago closing of US$ 68.67 per mt. API 8 CFR South China coal shipment price for Q2' 15 delivery has also lost US$ 1.80 month on month.

Q1’15 delivery swap closed at US$ 69.37 pmt on 1 August 2014, a $ 1.10 higher compared to Q4’ 2014 closing for the same period.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for average Q2’ 2015 deliveries closed US$ 2.08 (3.05%) higher compared to average Q4’ 2014 delivery price of US$ 68.27 on 1 August 2014. In the meantime, the average Q1 2015 coal swap was also closed 1.61 percent (US$ 1.10) higher than Q4’ 2014 swaps for the same period. According to this last week's swaps trend, Q1 & Q2 2015 coal swaps were higher compared to Q4 prices.

The price gaps between the Q4 and Q1’ 15 delivery narrowed to around US$ 1.10 PMT. Q4 delivery swap almost lost US$ 13.38 per mt or 16.38% since 2 January of this year. Q4 swap was closed at US$ 68.27 on 1 August compared to US$ 81.65 on 2 January 2014.

According to the world coal analysts, oversupply and weak consumption of coal are expected to continue for the rest of this year and or first half of next year. If the strong output continues, particularly in countries such as Indonesia, Australia, South Africa and Colombia, then the price recovery will be delayed by another 6 to 12 months.

Meantime some investment bank’s analysts are expects the price recovery will be only early 2016.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for deliveries Q4,Q1& Q2 2015 were showed a downward trend compared to month ago closing. But, gained compared to last week’s closing.

API 8 CFR South China Coal for Q4’ 2014 delivery swap was achieved a highest price (US$ 68.27) on 1 August 2014, and swap experienced a lowest closing (US$ 67.42) on 28 July 2014.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for delivery Q4 and Q1 & Q2 2015 were lost month on month but gained day on day and week on week giving positive trend after longer period.

The above article is subject to SGX’s and COALspot.com’s disclaimer clauses.



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