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Friday, 01 August 14
UNCERTAINTY IN ASIAN COAL MARKETS WHERE INDEX-LINKED PRICING DOMINATES - SGX
 COALspot.com: In the past 3 years, seaborne thermal coal markets have been in a state of constant oversupply.
Reuters expects this oversupply to continue into 2015 with current physical markets sloshed with roughly 10 million tons of thermal coal in excess of 2014 demand. The result is depressed and falling prices which has placed at risk many coal mining firms globally. However, current low prices belies great uncertainty in a market where the supply glut could rapidly turn into a squeeze, SGX said in its latest memo.
Bulking Up SGX Thermal Coal Derivatives
-- Growing uncertainty in Asian thermal coal markets reflected in rising price volatility from 3% to roughly 10%.
-- SGX will introduce API 4 and API 5 thermal coal derivatives on 4 Aug 2014 to complement to existing thermal coal contracts.
-- 50% margin credits for any pair of SGX thermal coal derivatives improve capital efficiencies.
According to SGX, although the surplus numbers look relatively puny next to a global output of 9 billion tons and an annual seaborne trade of a billion tons, it is the process of rebalancing such marginal supply (or marginal demand) that can sharply swing coal prices and create elevated levels of volatility. If the 10 million tons of excess supply gets absorbed by shocks or fresh demand, the seaborne coal market could quickly turn bullish with undersupply driving rising prices and higher volatility. In fact, 30-day active month historical price volatility has already risen significantly from 3% to approximately 10% in the last 2 months.
SGX further said, with physical coal trade flows heavily hinged on Asia, there is little doubt where a demand trigger could come from. Major consumers in China, India, and South East Asia look set to increase consumption as they fight poverty through rapid industrialization and urbanization—both of which require electricity.
For these countries, despite global concerns regarding pollution, coal remains the most affordable source of power. Meanwhile, in response to the recent glut, various government policies are being put in place to rationalize supply. Also, key producers in Indonesia and Australia are already in the midst of cutting production, said SGX
A combination of supply side discipline and rising demand may result in the re-balancing which could tilt market equilibrium. However, it is unknown when the effects of higher demand and reduced supply will hit the market.
SGX introduces API 4 and API 5 derivatives
Barring some exceptions, majority of international thermal coal deals are priced against an index or basket of indices. Many power generators in the region price electricity against index. This continues to create rising demand for index-linked thermal coal derivatives in Asia to meet hedging needs of miners, power gencos, and traders alike.
In responding to that trend, SGX will expand its current thermal coal derivative offerings from SGX API8 CFR China Coal Derivatives and SGX IHS McCloskey Indonesian Sub-Bit FOB Swaps/ Futures to also include SGX API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal Derivatives and SGX API5 FOB Newcastle Coal Derivatives.
The expanded suite will facilitate more effective hedging of thermal coal prices in Asia. The two new thermal coal contracts will be launched on 4 August 2014, alongside two coking coal derivative products. (please click here to find out more).
For more information on SGX Commodities, please visit SGX
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Monday, 28 July 14
S. KOREA'S KOSPO SEEKS 148K T OF 4700 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co Ltd (KOSPO) is seeking 148,000 tonnes of 4,700 kcal/kg NCV steaming coal for shipment between October to Nove ...
Monday, 28 July 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY UP WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Coal price falling is continues as the impact oversupply and lower demand. The swap for Q3, Q4 and Q1 2015 showing slight improvement ...
Sunday, 27 July 14
RAMADAN HOLIDAYS IN INDONESIA PUTTING PRESSURE ON CHARTER RATES FROM INDONESIA - VISTAAR INDIA
COALspot.com: The freight rates were almost steady as very slight improvement in BDI by about 1 pct. The BDI was at 739 points after improvin ...
Saturday, 26 July 14
COAL MINING COMPANIES CLOSED TEMPORARILY - THE JAKARTA POST
The Sarolangun regency administration in Jambi has suspended the operations of 10 coal mining companies in line with a circular issued by Regent Ce ...
Friday, 25 July 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP AROUND 3.5% WEEK ENDED JULY 19
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.00 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
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