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Monday, 28 July 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY UP WEEK ON WEEK

COALspot.com: Coal price falling is continues as the impact oversupply and lower demand. The swap for Q3, Q4 and Q1 2015 showing slight improvement week on week instead of weak on day and month.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in Q3 drops US$ 1.83 month on month on Friday, reached at US$ 66.30 a ton. The CFR South China Coal swap for delivery Q4 2014 lost on day and on month according to SGX AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports released week ended 25 July 2014.

Q4 delivery swap closed at US$ 67.42 a ton on 25 July  2014, a US$ 2.18 lower from a month and US$ 0.29 higher from a week ago closing of US$ 67.13. API 8 CFR South China coal shipment price for Q1'15 delivery has also lost US$ 2.26 month on month.

Q1’15 delivery swap closed at US$ 68.67 pmt on 25 July 2014, a $ 2.37 higher compared to Q3’ 2014 closing for the same period.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for average Q4’ 2014 deliveries closed US$ 1.12 (1.69%) higher compared to average Q3’ 2014 delivery price of US$ 66.30 on 25 July  2014. In the meantime, the average Q1 2015 coal swap was also closed 3.57 percent (US$ 2.79) higher than Q3’ 2014 swaps for the same period. According to this last week's swaps trend, Q4 2014 and Q1 2015 coal swaps are higher compared to Q3 prices.

The price gaps between the Q3 and Q4 delivery narrowed to around US$ 1.12 PMT. Q3 delivery swap almost lost US$ 12.05 or 15.38% since 27 January this year. Q3 swap was closed just US$ 66.30 on 25 July compared to US$ 78.35 on 27 January 2014.

According to the world coal analysts, oversupply and weak consumption of coal are expected to continue for the rest of this year and or first half of next year. If the strong output continues, particularly in countries such as Indonesia, Australia, South Africa and Colombia, then the price recovery will be delayed by another 6 to 12 months. Meantime some investment bank’s analysts are expects the price recovery will be only early 2016.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for deliveries Q3,Q4 2014 and Q1 2015 were showing a downward trend compared to month on month.

API 8 CFR South China Coal for Q3’ 2014 delivery swap was achieved a highest price (US$ 66.53) on 24 July 2014, and swap experienced a lowest closing (US$ 65.97) on 21July 2014.

API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for delivery Q3, Q4 and Q1 2015 were lost on day and on month this past week.

The above article is subject to SGX’s and COALspot.com’s disclaimer clauses.



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