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Wednesday, 18 June 14
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
Back in January the expectations for Q3 and Q4 were more than great. Talks and claims for a rising BDI and a healthy market were coming from everywhere. Almost everyone believed that things were finally starting to look up for a change! Now at the half way mark of the year, it seems that the only reason to look up is to pray for a miracle. The rates are dropping and the order book seems to be rising. “Seems” being a key word here, as we all know that there is a long road between the signing of an LOI and the delivery of a ready ship.
On the asset side, particularly in the panamax sector, buyers are becoming scarce, with less and less superficial inspections compared to three months ago. It’s starting to feel like 2012 all over again, but we have a long way to go on the price front. Sellers are still resisting and as long as there are some buyers willing to inspect and offer now that the competition is minimal, prices will continue to stay buoyant.
On the boxships front and in contrast to the bulk carriers, the panamax segment is showing an upward movement despite the super sizing that has been taking place in this sector. With Panamaxes having seen such relatively cheap rates it didn’t take much from the firming West Africa trade, which has been the main charter employment lately for several panamax and wide beam panamax units and in essence has cleared up some of the excess tonnage that had accumulated in the market. How long will this continue for, is yet to be seen.
And since we started with the panamax, let’s move onto a private equity favourite, namely the LR1. The aggressive demand for modern assets (i.e. 10 year-old or younger) that still trade CPP, have pushed these ships to soar in value, reaching levels in the region of mid USD 20s million. On the other hand, older than 10 year-old ships are valued considerably less. The order book is indeed limited and with the exception of the Navig8 order, the segment could easily be labelled as “forgotten” in the Newbuilding village. Once more, this is also a case in which the freight market does not support these prices, but leaves hints and hopes for better days to come for the CPP vessels.
Looking at the NB prices for each segment, dry bulk Kamsarmaxes experienced an increase close to 15% over the last 14 months. On the container side, there is significant pressure on yards to increase prices due to their increasing operating costs, but at the same time the lack of feedback from owners has kept prices steady for the time being. On the tankers side, a respective Newbuilding rose from USD 40,5 million back in early 2013 up to over USD 47 million almost a year later.
So we have three markets and three “panamaxes” with different characteristics. The work horse of the dry market, which is close to becoming the old horse being put out to pasture, its containership counterpart that has become the new black horse and the forgotten LR1, which is making a comeback for a limited number of players. How are these ships going to hold against the rising orderbooks and the competition from their smaller and/or larger equivalents, it will be very interesting to see.
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 29 May 14
PEABODY ENERGY CHAIRMAN RECEIVES WCA AWARD
The World Coal Association has presented Gregory H. Boyce, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Peabody Energy (NYSE: BTU), with the 2014 Chairm ...
Thursday, 29 May 14
HANDY : THE SUPRAS ARE BEING TRADED AROUND 13K FOR SHORTER UPTO 1 YEAR PERIOD
Handy
The week started off with bank holidays in London and very little happening. This trend has continued and we believe it will continue into ...
Wednesday, 28 May 14
THE DRY BULK MARKET REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market remained under pressure during this past week, with all indices pointing down compared to the previous Friday. Th ...
Tuesday, 27 May 14
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 19.13% LESS COAL THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 26 May 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, ...
Monday, 26 May 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDO COAL SWAP Q1' 15 DELIVERIES CLOSED AT US$ 59.40 PER MT
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports re ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The University of Queensland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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