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Wednesday, 18 June 14
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
Back in January the expectations for Q3 and Q4 were more than great. Talks and claims for a rising BDI and a healthy market were coming from everywhere. Almost everyone believed that things were finally starting to look up for a change! Now at the half way mark of the year, it seems that the only reason to look up is to pray for a miracle. The rates are dropping and the order book seems to be rising. “Seems” being a key word here, as we all know that there is a long road between the signing of an LOI and the delivery of a ready ship.
On the asset side, particularly in the panamax sector, buyers are becoming scarce, with less and less superficial inspections compared to three months ago. It’s starting to feel like 2012 all over again, but we have a long way to go on the price front. Sellers are still resisting and as long as there are some buyers willing to inspect and offer now that the competition is minimal, prices will continue to stay buoyant.
On the boxships front and in contrast to the bulk carriers, the panamax segment is showing an upward movement despite the super sizing that has been taking place in this sector. With Panamaxes having seen such relatively cheap rates it didn’t take much from the firming West Africa trade, which has been the main charter employment lately for several panamax and wide beam panamax units and in essence has cleared up some of the excess tonnage that had accumulated in the market. How long will this continue for, is yet to be seen.
And since we started with the panamax, let’s move onto a private equity favourite, namely the LR1. The aggressive demand for modern assets (i.e. 10 year-old or younger) that still trade CPP, have pushed these ships to soar in value, reaching levels in the region of mid USD 20s million. On the other hand, older than 10 year-old ships are valued considerably less. The order book is indeed limited and with the exception of the Navig8 order, the segment could easily be labelled as “forgotten” in the Newbuilding village. Once more, this is also a case in which the freight market does not support these prices, but leaves hints and hopes for better days to come for the CPP vessels.
Looking at the NB prices for each segment, dry bulk Kamsarmaxes experienced an increase close to 15% over the last 14 months. On the container side, there is significant pressure on yards to increase prices due to their increasing operating costs, but at the same time the lack of feedback from owners has kept prices steady for the time being. On the tankers side, a respective Newbuilding rose from USD 40,5 million back in early 2013 up to over USD 47 million almost a year later.
So we have three markets and three “panamaxes” with different characteristics. The work horse of the dry market, which is close to becoming the old horse being put out to pasture, its containership counterpart that has become the new black horse and the forgotten LR1, which is making a comeback for a limited number of players. How are these ships going to hold against the rising orderbooks and the competition from their smaller and/or larger equivalents, it will be very interesting to see.
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 23 June 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAP FOR Q3 DELIVERY LOST 8.60% Y-O-Y;4.80% M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports re ...
Monday, 23 June 14
COAL SWAPS DROPS FURTHER MONTH ON MONTH ON WEAK DEMAND
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 6.91 percent month on month and closed at US$ 69.00 per mt a ...
Sunday, 22 June 14
THE PANAMAX COAL FREIGHT FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA SLIPPED THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities, fell slightly on Friday ...
Friday, 20 June 14
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR UPSIDE ON ROBUST SEABORNE IRON ORE TRADE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market hasn’t been able to justify the heightened expectations this year. Yesterday, the Baltic Dry Index managed to inch forwar ...
Friday, 20 June 14
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DROPS 1.8% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.3 million short tons (mmst) of coal in a ...
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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