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Thursday, 12 June 14
CONSOLIDATION IS THE ' NAME OF THE GAME' WHEN IT COMES TO SHIPYARDS ACROSS ASIA - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS

Intense competition, a swelling of new greenfield shipyards over the past few years mainly in China, especially prior to the 2008 global financial crisis, coupled with the diminishing demand over the past few years prior to 2013-2014 period, means that many shipyards are facing “exstinction” if no course of action is undertaken. This means consolidation to improve economies of scale and increase competitiveness.

In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Intermodal noted that the recent takeover of Sasebo Heavy Industries by Namura Zosen, is a sign of things to come. According to Intermodal’s SnP broker, Mr. Tasos Papadopoulos, “this is the second consolidation move of its type in Japan; following the formation of Japan Marine United (JMU) through the merger of IHI Marine United and Universal Shipbuilding, which was set to turn two medium-sized Japanese shipbuilders into one of Japan’s major shipbuilding groups.

At the same time it is worth remembering one of last year’ failed attempts, when talks between Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd. And Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding Co. reached a stalemate. Despite setbacks like this, the Japanese government seems to be continuing to push its efforts to reduce the number of Japanese shipbuilders and in effect boosting the competitiveness of its industry against that of lower-cost rivals such as China and South Korea”, Papadopoulos noted.

He added that “China CSSC Holdings Limited is also planning to restructure its facilities and reduce the number of its affiliated shipyards; it is rumoured that mergers of four major shipyards are under firm discussions, Hudong-Zhounghua Shipbuilding with Shanghai Shipyard and Shanghai Waigaoqiao Shipbuilding (SWS) together with Jiangnan Shipyard. Market players consider that the merger would boost up CSSC, by curbing keen competition between companies under its wings for new business and orders, optimizing manpower and improving production efficiency”.

According to Intermodal’s broker, “based on the current orderbook, the hardest hit sector has been China’s privately owned small to medium sized shipyards whose market share have considerably declined and it seems realistic that some may soon exit. These “lower standard, lower tech’” shipyards are struggling to survive, with small shipyards like Bluesky and Jingang, amongst others, having already filed for bankruptcy, whilst shipbuilding operations have been suspended at many other private shipyards in China which are struggling with cash flow difficulties; worth reminding that Rongsheng Heavy Industries Group, a mega-sized private yard, has been close to collapse due to similar cash flow issues and has asked the government for a bail out since July of last year”.

Papadopoulos also noted that “considering the large number of shipbuilders in China, industry experts have predicted that for the industry to stabilize, 30 to 50 percent will probably have to shut down operations over the next five years. This is supported by Yangzijiang’s executive chairman Ren Yuanlin’s statement that “a third of the nation’s yards face the danger of closure in about five years after failing to win orders.” However, Xu Minle, an analyst at Bank of China International Ltd pointed out that “compared with shutting down of companies, mergers and acquisitions are less likely to cause social unrest.” It is obvious that shutting down shipyards is a hard choice for any government to make, while mergers and acquisitions are a “soft” alternative.

Yet as much as it would benefit the industry to have a decline in shipbuilding capacity through M&A, it is not always an easy task to bring the two parties together. Maybe as a shift from the past, this time around, governments will choose to use incentives to trim the excess fat from their shipbuilding industry, rather than trying to support them all through artificial government-backed ordering and subsidies. The shipping industry could do with less “Sanko Steamship orders” (pertaining to the order of 123 dry bulkers in 1982 rumoured to have been supported then by the Japanese government) and more “Japan Marine United” mergers”, he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News



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