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Friday, 23 May 14
DRY BULK NEWBUILDING CANCELLATIONS COULD HELP SUPPORT MARKET IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's demise over the past few months maybe has come as a surprise to many, but analysts and shipbrokers are looking forward to the coming months with more optimism, mainly as a result of improving conditions in terms of tonnage supply. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "things have started to look brighter for several of the OECD countries, with both Europe and the U.S. seeing an increase in their respective growth forecasts. For the latter, many are expecting an improvement over the second half of the year, as the ample cash flow and improved demand should eventually boost their imports significantly. These are more likely to effect the tanker and more importantly container markets and should give both these a boost. It doesn’t just stop there though".
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Research Analyst with Intermodal, "there is still ample seaborne trade to be seen this year and as the fleet growth has now been limited, shipping markets should be able to perform better then what they had 2-3 years back. In the dry bulk market we have seen 240 newbuildings delivered up until now, while from the remaining 584 vessels scheduled for 2014, a significant number are likely to either be delayed or even cancelled.
It is important to note here that even during 2013 and while the market was on a more optimistic tone, the combined slippage and cancellation rate was 36.5%, while during 2014, 58 newbuildings have already either been re-scheduled for post 2014 or cancelled. Similarly, in the Tanker sector deliveries for this year are mild in contrast to past years. What’s more is that the Tanker sector also holds much better trade prospects for the remainder of the year and this could lead to a better year in terms of earnings", he noted.
In an attempt to explain the lacklustre performance of the shipping markets during the first few months of 2014, Mr. Lazaridis noted that "the recent revision by the OECD of its global growth forecast has sparked a debate as to the potential outcome these new figures will have on seaborne trade. The main concern has been the slower expansion of China and other emerging markets. These markets have been the prime movers of trade over the past decade and as we witnessed over the past months, things are starting to become a tighter in terms of activity of bulk commodities.
The most important factor has been the crackdown on lending by the Chinese, which in turn prompted many organizations to revise their forecasts on Chinese GDP this year from a previous prediction of 8.2 percent, down to 7.4 percent. At the same time, many are confident that should there be a sharp slowdown in economic activity, the People’s Bank of China will step in and ease some of its monetary policies. Nevertheless, we have already seen these lending restrictions take effect on certain trades, with even difficulties in issuing letters of credit by some traders cutting down their import volumes", he said.
Mr. Lazaridis added that "the dry bulk market has felt the main brunt of these new trends, with the spring season being more limited in cargoes than usual and rates having taken a sharp turn for the worst through most of the past months. This has caused many to revise their ideas as to the overall freight market performance for 2014 and has even brought a halt in the previously peaking SnP activity, pushing for a correction in asset prices. Early May has seen an average of 3% drop in dry bulk asset prices compared to where they stood at the end of April and as many potential buyers are waiting for further corrections, this downturn could easily continue at least up until the first half of the summer".
Concluding, he noted that "all this could possibly see for a higher investment interest especially come September were we typically start to see a firmer freight market in the Dry Bulk, Tanker and Container markets. It looks as now it’s a bit of a “wait and see” game and as the clouds of uncertainty clear out we should end up with a clearer picture as to where the market is going".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 20 May 14
NEWCASTLE'S COAL EXPORT VOLUME UP 39.11 PERCENT WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 19 May 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, ...
Tuesday, 20 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO IMPROVE OVER THE COURSE OF 2014, BUT OVERSUPPLY STILL AN ISSUE SAYS BIMCO'S CHIEF SHIPPING ANALYST
As a gruelling first quarter edges closer to the end, dry bulk ship owners are looking at an improved second quarter demand, which, coupled with sl ...
Tuesday, 20 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET IS BOUND FOR A RECOVERY CLAIMS PARAGON SHIPPING'S HEAD MICHAEL BODOUROGLOU
The dry bulk market is bound for a recovery in the coming weeks, as the market will be better balanced, said Mr. Michael Bodouroglou, Chairman and ...
Monday, 19 May 14
INDO COAL SWAPS FOR AVERAGE Q3' 2014 DELIVERY LOST ON WEEK AND ON MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports release ...
Monday, 19 May 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL LOST 2.49% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 2.49 percent month on month and closed at US$ 74.35 per mt as on F ...
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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