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Monday, 21 April 14
DRY BULK MARKET UPS AND - MOST RECENTLY - DOWNS OFFERS NO ROOM FOR RELAXING AMONG DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's latest demise, with the market retrating once again, since the end of March, has come at a time, when most ship owners, analysts and pundits alike, were looking towards 2014 being a "breakout" year, one that would solidify the market's recovery after almost five years in the doldrums, amid a hefty orderbook and modest demand. So far, those projections seem far off, at least from the market's point of view. Of course, all this could change in a couple of monhts, but for the time being it is what it is.
In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Intermodal commented that despite the dry bulk market's negative performance, "we are witnessing asset values remaining at much higher levels than compared to those of August 2013, the same period the BDI had last visited the 1,000 level mark. At the same time the average TC is either worse than what it was back then, as in the case of Capes and Panamaxes or just a tad better, as in the case of the smaller size segments. But even in the case of Supras and Handies that experience a slightly better freight market, the second hand values are way higher than what they were 8 months ago".
SnP broker, Mr. George Iliopoulos, highlighted the example of a seven year old Panamax, which was soldd at around $18 million back in August. "The market for the same vessel today would be somewhere around USD 26 mil, while the average TC for the segment stands at around USD 6,500/day, when back in August it was around USD 7,500/day. During the past month, the number of sales candidates has increased a lot. If someone takes a closer look, they can see that, with the exception of Japanese owned vessels maybe, the majority of sales candidates are vessels that were bought at very low levels sometime between 2012 and 2013, which means that their owners are hoping to lock a good profit from selling back their vessels. A number of fifteen year old Handymax vessels that were bought between USD8mil and USD 9mil in either 2012 or 2013, are currently in the market for a price tag of around USD 13.5mil, which undoubtedly is a great return", Iliopoulos noted.
He added that "psychology, as always, is still playing a very important role for both buyers and sellers, while it is currently very difficult for anyone to make predictions, as the markets nowadays are influenced by many factors, some of which are not even explicit in the way they are linked to the shipping market. Under such circumstances, and with the freight rates being in a free fall during the past weeks, some potential buyers are more hesitant to go ahead with a purchase. At the same time, others believe that the bad performance of rates is only periodic and try to take advantage of a possible break down in the psychology of Sellers, who might have started feeling less confident than before, both because of the bad market but also due to the decreased number of potential buyers around, most of them having already made an acquisition during the past year".
Iliopoulos noted that "if we try to summarize the first quarter of 2014, we can say that in terms of freight rates the performance in the Dry Bulk market has not met the high expectations created following the mini rally at the end of last year, but at the same time there are a lot of people who firmly believe that the market will make a come-back in 2014 and freight rates will bounce back up. Evident of this optimism is the firm numbers still being achieved in the second-hand market even for older vessels, like in the case of the ‘ASIAN EXCELSIOR’ (45kdwt-blt96 Taiwan), which was very recently sold in excess of USD 11 mil.
So let’s hope that going forward the performance of freight market will follow that of the second-hand market, so that our industry gets a break and starts operating under healthier fundamentals and sustainable growth", he concluded.
It's also worth noting that in its latest short term analysis, BIMCO noted that despite the recent fall of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), when one compares the first quarter of 2014, to similar quarters of the recent past, it is apparent that the market is rising. For this particular period, BIMCO believes that the level of Capesize TC average rates will hover around USD 12,000-22,000 per day.
Panamax TC average rates will still feel the supply pressure in the region of USD 5,000-10,000 per day. For the Supramax segment, BIMCO forecasts freight rates in the USD 10,000-14,000 per day interval supported by more Atlantic cargoes, whereas Handysize rates seen in the solid region of USD 8,000-10,000 per day.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 26 May 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDO COAL SWAP Q1' 15 DELIVERIES CLOSED AT US$ 59.40 PER MT
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on day, week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports re ...
Monday, 26 May 14
Q3 14 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS LOST 2.24% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 2.24 percent month on month and closed at US$ 73.88 per mt as on F ...
Monday, 26 May 14
NEWBUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY RISES BY 78% IN DWT TONNAGE OVER THE FIRST 4 MONTHS OF THE YEARS, AS OWNERS INVEST$40.5 BN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Ship owners have plunged into newbuilding orders during the first four months of the year, as overall newbuilding business ended for the first four ...
Sunday, 25 May 14
FREIGHT RATES FROM SOUTH KALIMANTAN TO EAST COAST INDIAN PORTS WERE ASSESSED AT $9.50/MT
COALspot.com: The BDI was closed at 964 points down by 6.13 pct week on week. The Cape Index was lost 172 points or 11.24% week on week and closing ...
Saturday, 24 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET'S RECOVERY IS JUST AROUND THE CORNER SAYS SHIPOWNER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the weaker than expected market sentiment in the dry bulk market over the course of the past few months, analysts and shipowners alike appe ...
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- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- VISA Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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