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Monday, 21 April 14
DRY BULK MARKET UPS AND - MOST RECENTLY - DOWNS OFFERS NO ROOM FOR RELAXING AMONG DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market's latest demise, with the market retrating once again, since the end of March, has come at a time, when most ship owners, analysts and pundits alike, were looking towards 2014 being a "breakout" year, one that would solidify the market's recovery after almost five years in the doldrums, amid a hefty orderbook and modest demand. So far, those projections seem far off, at least from the market's point of view. Of course, all this could change in a couple of monhts, but for the time being it is what it is.
In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Intermodal commented that despite the dry bulk market's negative performance, "we are witnessing asset values remaining at much higher levels than compared to those of August 2013, the same period the BDI had last visited the 1,000 level mark. At the same time the average TC is either worse than what it was back then, as in the case of Capes and Panamaxes or just a tad better, as in the case of the smaller size segments. But even in the case of Supras and Handies that experience a slightly better freight market, the second hand values are way higher than what they were 8 months ago".
SnP broker, Mr. George Iliopoulos, highlighted the example of a seven year old Panamax, which was soldd at around $18 million back in August. "The market for the same vessel today would be somewhere around USD 26 mil, while the average TC for the segment stands at around USD 6,500/day, when back in August it was around USD 7,500/day. During the past month, the number of sales candidates has increased a lot. If someone takes a closer look, they can see that, with the exception of Japanese owned vessels maybe, the majority of sales candidates are vessels that were bought at very low levels sometime between 2012 and 2013, which means that their owners are hoping to lock a good profit from selling back their vessels. A number of fifteen year old Handymax vessels that were bought between USD8mil and USD 9mil in either 2012 or 2013, are currently in the market for a price tag of around USD 13.5mil, which undoubtedly is a great return", Iliopoulos noted.
He added that "psychology, as always, is still playing a very important role for both buyers and sellers, while it is currently very difficult for anyone to make predictions, as the markets nowadays are influenced by many factors, some of which are not even explicit in the way they are linked to the shipping market. Under such circumstances, and with the freight rates being in a free fall during the past weeks, some potential buyers are more hesitant to go ahead with a purchase. At the same time, others believe that the bad performance of rates is only periodic and try to take advantage of a possible break down in the psychology of Sellers, who might have started feeling less confident than before, both because of the bad market but also due to the decreased number of potential buyers around, most of them having already made an acquisition during the past year".
Iliopoulos noted that "if we try to summarize the first quarter of 2014, we can say that in terms of freight rates the performance in the Dry Bulk market has not met the high expectations created following the mini rally at the end of last year, but at the same time there are a lot of people who firmly believe that the market will make a come-back in 2014 and freight rates will bounce back up. Evident of this optimism is the firm numbers still being achieved in the second-hand market even for older vessels, like in the case of the ‘ASIAN EXCELSIOR’ (45kdwt-blt96 Taiwan), which was very recently sold in excess of USD 11 mil.
So let’s hope that going forward the performance of freight market will follow that of the second-hand market, so that our industry gets a break and starts operating under healthier fundamentals and sustainable growth", he concluded.
It's also worth noting that in its latest short term analysis, BIMCO noted that despite the recent fall of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), when one compares the first quarter of 2014, to similar quarters of the recent past, it is apparent that the market is rising. For this particular period, BIMCO believes that the level of Capesize TC average rates will hover around USD 12,000-22,000 per day.
Panamax TC average rates will still feel the supply pressure in the region of USD 5,000-10,000 per day. For the Supramax segment, BIMCO forecasts freight rates in the USD 10,000-14,000 per day interval supported by more Atlantic cargoes, whereas Handysize rates seen in the solid region of USD 8,000-10,000 per day.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 26 June 14
COAL DIVESTMENT CAMPAIGNS COME WITH RISKY UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES - WCA
Last week I presented to the Expert Group on investments in coal and petroleum companies, the body set up to advise the Norwegian Government on whe ...
Wednesday, 25 June 14
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS ON RISE; EARNINGS FALL ON LOWER SELLING PRICES
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producer and the global largest multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.84* ...
Wednesday, 25 June 14
THE PANAMAX MARKET REACHED FRESH LOWS FOR THE YEAR, SAYS INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed off the week noting a slight decrease, but this image of stability is merely representative of freight rat ...
Wednesday, 25 June 14
SHIPPING: MARKET INSIGHT - YANNIS OLZIERSKY
During his recent visit in London, China's Premier, Li Keqiang, announced that China's economy, the world's second largest after the US ...
Tuesday, 24 June 14
INDONESIAN COAL MINER TARGETS RP 313 BILLION IPO
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal miner PT Mitrabara Adiperdana is aiming to raise up to Rp 313 billion to Rp 368 billion (approximately $26.133 millio ...
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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