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Thursday, 17 April 14
DRY BULK MARKET ON RETREAT MODE, WHILE NEWBUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY STALLS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS


The dry bulk market has kept on retreating this week, a pattern which emerged since late March. Yesterday the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) ended yet another downward session, which saw its fall down to 936 points, minus 34 points on the day. Capesizes were once again among the main "losers", with the Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) down by 111 points. Panamaxes on the other hand had an upward session, up by 15 points, but they had already reached new year lows over the past few weeks. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, "the dry bulk market is still unable to react to the pressure that has been building up as of the end of March, while the holidays this week should impede any significant improvement.

Meanwhile, the newbuilding market has been on "afterburner" mode over the past few weeks. According to Intermodal, "the newbuilding market still faces levelling prices, while interest has somewhat bounced off the lows that we have been witnessing during the past weeks. Saying that, we don’t expect any booming in orders anytime soon with the conditions prevailing in the market at the moment. There are a number of voices that support that newbuilding prices will note a substantial increase this year round, as they did in 2013 but we don’t see that being possible unless there is a substantial reversal in the performance of the freight rate market and subsequently the market psychology. But even if prices don’t increase substantially and the market continues to fare at low levels, we don’t see any decreases happening either. The truth is that most of the yards, and certainly all the a-list ones have covered all or a very substantial part of their slots, which means that they are now dealing with healthier cash flows and much less pressure than what they did a year ago when they had to offer big discounts to attract interest. In terms of new orders, Singaporean owner Navig8 has returned to Hyundai in S. Korea, to place an order for a pair of VLCCs (320,000dwt), for a reported price of $ 102.0m each and delivery set for 2016", said the Piraeus-based shipbroker.

On a similar note, Clarkson Hellas said in its latest newbuilding report that "in dry, it is understood that Golden Union have declared options for three further 81,200 DWT Kamsarmax at AVIC Weihai Shipyard for deliveries throughout 2016 and 2017 to add to their existing two units currently under construction. Clients of Sealink Navigation have contracted two firm 63,000 DWT Ultramax with Imabari Shipbuilding in Japan for deliveries in 2016 for the first unit and in 2017 for the second. Also, although understood to have been signed last month, it came to light this week that they have also placed an order for two firm 34,000 DWT bulk carriers at Namura Shipbuilding which are due to deliver in 3Q 2015.

Further orders in the VLCC sector to report this week, with clients of Transportation Recovery Fund (TRF) contracting two firm 320,000 DWT crude carriers at Hanjin’s Subic yard in the Philippines. Delivery is planned in 4Q 2016 and 1Q 2017.  A single order to report in the container market, with Arkas Container Transport contracting two firm plus two option 2,500 TEU container carriers with Zhejiang Ouhua in China. No price was disclosed, but it is understood that the deliveries will be in 4Q 2016 for the first unit whilst the rest will be in 2017. Bremen based Zeaborn declared their options for further four 12,500 DWT MPPs at Taizhou Sanfu for delivery in 2016 and 2017. The German shipping company already have six units of the same type on order at Sanfu, and also have six firm plus four option 12,000 DWT MPPs at Sainty Marine in China", Clarkson Hellas concluded.

Finally, on the demolition front, Intermodal noted that "forget the disappointments elsewhere; the demolition market remains the bright spot of the industry for yet another week. While the Indian Rupee continues to display strength against the US Dollar it seems that those high levels we have been seeing lately may be sustained for a little while longer. This past week, bids coming from both Pakistan and India have increased further, while the rest of the competition remained numb, with prices in Bangladesh actually softening. Despite no particular developments in the country that could have an adverse effect on prices, it seems that demand has yet to reach satisfactory levels. Elsewhere things remain quiet, with China watching the gap between local and Indian Sub-Continent prices having widened so much that even locally positioned demo candidates can’t find the Chinese demo market attractive. Average prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 320-500$/ldt and dry units received about 310-490$/ldt", the shipbroker concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News



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