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Wednesday, 16 April 14
Q1 2014 : TERMS OF FREIGHT RATES THE PERFORMANCE IN THE DRY BULK MARKET HAS NOT MET THE HIGH EXPECTATIONS - INTERMODAL
This year the dates for the celebration of Easter will coincide for the Orthodox and the Catholic, so we are already seeing most people in the market getting into a more relaxed mood. Saying that, this could probably be the worst time to relax, especially if you are involved with the Dry Bulk market, as the latter has been losing ground constantly for the past three weeks.
Despite the negative performance, we are witnessing asset values remaining at much higher levels than compared to those of August 2013, the same period the BDI had last visited the 1,000 level mark. At the same time the average TC is either worse than what it was back then, as in the case of Capes and Panamaxes or just a tad better, as in the case of the smaller size segments. But even in the case of Supras and Handies that experience a slightly better freight market, the second hand values are way higher than what they were 8 months ago.
Let’s take the example of a seven year old Panamax, which was sold at around USD 18 mil back in August. The market for the same vessel today would be somewhere around USD 26 mil, while the average TC for the segment stands at around USD 6,500/day, when back in August it was around USD 7,500/day. During the past month, the number of sales candidates has increased a lot.
If someone takes a closer look, they can see that, with the exception of Japanese owned vessels maybe, the majority of sales candidates are vessels that were bought at very low levels sometime between 2012 and 2013, which means that their owners are hoping to lock a good profit from selling back their vessels. A number of fifteen year old Handymax vessels that were bought between USD8mil and USD 9mil in either 2012 or 2013, are currently in the market for a price tag of around USD 13.5mil, which undoubtedly is a great return.
Psychology, as always, is still playing a very important role for both buyers and sellers, while it is currently very difficult for anyone to make predictions, as the markets nowadays are influenced by many factors, some of which are not even explicit in the way they are linked to the shipping market. Under such circumstances, and with the freight rates being in a free fall during the past weeks, some potential buyers are more hesitant to go ahead with a purchase. At the same time, others believe that the bad performance of rates is only periodic and try to take advantage of a possible break down in the psychology of Sellers, who might have started feeling less confident than before, both because of the bad market but also due to the decreased number of potential buyers around, most of them having already made an acquisition during the past year.
So if we try to summarize the first quarter of 2014, we can say that in terms of freight rates the performance in the Dry Bulk market has not met the high expectations created following the mini rally at the end of last year, but at the same time there are a lot of people who firmly believe that the market will make a come-back in 2014 and freight rates will bounce back up. Evident of this optimism is the firm numbers still being achieved in the second-hand market even for older vessels, like in the case of the ‘ASIAN EXCELSIOR’ (45kdwt-blt96 Taiwan), which was very recently sold in excess of USD 11 mil.
So let’s hope that going forward the performance of freight market will follow that of the second-hand market, so that our industry gets a break and starts operating under healthier fundamentals and sustainable growth.
Happy Easter to Everyone!
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 23 April 14
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR LOW VOLATILE BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com : Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd. has invited bids through International open bidding for 90,000 Metric Tons (MT) of low volatile bit ...
Tuesday, 22 April 14
INDONESIAN MARCH COAL EXPORT VOLUME SURGE 9.12% TO 35.54 MMT
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producer and the global largest multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.9 ...
Tuesday, 22 April 14
NEWCASTLE WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS FELL 13.33% THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 21 April 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensl ...
Monday, 21 April 14
Q1'15 SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SHOWING A POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q2’ 2014 gain on month and on week according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports rele ...
Monday, 21 April 14
Q4 2014 AND Q1 2015 COAL SWAPS CLOSED MARGINALLY HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2 PRICES
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries gained 0.87 percent month on month and closed at US$ 76.15 per mt as ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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